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Germie Bernard

#5Germie Bernard

Germie Bernard is a Versatile WR for Alabama. Germie's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 119 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

10%
projected
band 7%'25 13%14%

Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Rushing
101 Rush yards2 Rush TD18 Carries5.6 Yards/carry
Receiving
64 Receptions862 Rec yards7 Rec TD13.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyPass-Down
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency75th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 10 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.48 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 2.39 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs UL Monroe (SP+ -22).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Keytaon ThompsonMississippi State2017700.4601.232.2
Quadree HendersonPittsburgh2016630.5301.633.4
DeAndre HughesAir Force2021600.4701.328.2
Savion WilliamsTCU2024560.4501.125.2
Javion PoseyFlorida Atlantic2020530.4501.423.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Florida State: +1.03 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs UL Monroe: +2.39 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Wisconsin: +1.02 EPA/play3Wk 5 vs Georgia: +0.29 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Vanderbilt: +1.28 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Missouri: +0.47 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Tennessee: +0.56 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs South Carolina: +0.86 EPA/play9Wk 11 vs LSU: +0.87 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Oklahoma: +0.09 EPA/play12Wk 14 vs Auburn: -0.34 EPA/play14Wk 15 vs Georgia: +0.15 EPA/play15Wk 1 vs Indiana: +1.04 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs Oklahoma: +1.04 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1@Florida StateL17-317.2814618.30371.03
2vsUL MonroeW73-0-21.636722.32292.39
3vsWisconsinW38-14-4.446215.51431.02
5@GeorgiaW24-2124.15357.01180.29
6vsVanderbiltW30-1420.358216.41271.28
7@MissouriW27-2414.43206.70150.47
8vsTennesseeW37-2015.056012.00280.56
9@South CarolinaW29-225.955410.81230.86
11vsLSUW20-910.337926.30330.87
12vsOklahomaL21-2318.377110.10170.09
14@AuburnW27-2011.63248.009-0.34
15vsGeorgiaL7-2824.166210.31230.15
1vsIndianaL3-3832.446015.00341.04
1@OklahomaW34-2418.334013.30241.04

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
13.1%
Passing plays
19.9%
Rushing plays
4.4%
Standard downs
12.2%
Passing downs
15.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.47
Passing downs
0.72
Pass / Rush EPA
0.56 / 0.55

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.