#85Grant Hollier
Grant Hollier is a Red Zone Weapon TE for Georgia State.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the TE mean. Model correlation r≈0.42 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers
Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 1.05 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 3.62 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Memphis (SP+ 8).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Thompson | Tulane | 2024 | 48 | 0.420 | 0.4 | 20.2 |
| Seth Green | Minnesota | 2018 | 83 | 0.390 | 0.0 | 32.4 |
| Johnny Langan | Rutgers | 2020 | 59 | 0.300 | 0.0 | 17.7 |
| Evan Svoboda | Wyoming | 2024 | 75 | 0.290 | 0.0 | 21.8 |
| Jordan Myers | Rice | 2021 | 59 | 0.270 | 0.2 | 15.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vsMemphis | L16-38 | 7.6 | 1 | 52 | 52.0 | 0 | 52 | 3.62 |
| 7 | vsApp State | L20-41 | -11.4 | 2 | 28 | 14.0 | 1 | 15 | 0.41 |
| 8 | @Georgia Southern | L24-41 | -9.4 | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | 0 | 7 | 0.77 |
| 9 | vsSouth Alabama | L31-38 | -12.7 | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| 11 | @Coastal Carolina | L27-40 | -15.1 | 3 | 58 | 19.3 | 1 | 25 | 0.69 |
| 12 | vsMarshall | L18-30 | -4.5 | 6 | 51 | 8.5 | 1 | 19 | 1.22 |
| 13 | @Troy | L19-31 | -4.8 | 3 | 40 | 13.3 | 0 | 23 | 0.20 |
| 14 | @Old Dominion | L10-27 | 5.9 | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 0 | 15 | 0.10 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.83
- Passing downs
- 0.61
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.73 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).