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Greg Burrell

#9Greg Burrell

Greg Burrell is a Explosive Back for Texas State. Greg's 2025 season ranks in the 20th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 97 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

14%
projected
band 7%'25 13%21%

Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Rushing
671 Rush yards3 Rush TD100 Carries6.7 Yards/carry
Receiving
13 Receptions125 Rec yards0 Rec TD9.6 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyReceiving
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)20th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency60th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • 4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 0.91 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Eastern Michigan (SP+ -15).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Eastern Michigan: +0.91 EPA/play1Wk 3 vs Arizona State: +0.18 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Nicholls: +0.68 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Arkansas State: -0.41 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Troy: +0.46 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Marshall: -0.01 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs James Madison: -0.12 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Louisiana: +0.11 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Southern Miss: +0.20 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs UL Monroe: +0.38 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs South Alabama: +0.19 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Rice: +0.57 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsEastern MichiganW52-27-14.777911.3123100.91
3@Arizona StateL15-343.95193.800.18
4vsNichollsW35-36396.510.68
6@Arkansas StateL30-31-8.810303.002340-0.41
7vsTroyL41-48-4.81313610.510.46
8@MarshallL37-40-4.58273.402140-0.01
10vsJames MadisonL20-5212.310292.90110-0.12
11@LouisianaL39-42-10.13155.000.11
12@Southern MissW41-14-7.111958.601700.20
13vsUL MonroeW31-14-21.68617.6011600.38
14vsSouth AlabamaW49-26-12.710606.0042200.19
1vsRiceW41-10-14.89819.000.57

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
12.9%
Passing plays
3.6%
Rushing plays
20.0%
Standard downs
14.2%
Passing downs
9.8%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.23
Passing downs
0.46
Pass / Rush EPA
0.57 / 0.23

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.