Texas State Bobcats
Pac-12··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1606
#44
SP+
2.3
#65
O15/D117
FPI
-1.5
SRS
-1.6
AP
NR
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 10 to play5.9 – 4.1
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
5.9
of 10 games
Bowl odds
61%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
93%
vs Colorado State
Toughest
13%
vs Texas
💬Texas State Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
473.5#5
Yards / play
6.7#17
Passing yards / game
250.8#43
Rushing yards / game
222.7#10
First downs / game
22.9#19
3rd down %
46.0%#23
4th down %
60.0%#36
Time of possession
29:10#93
Defense
Yards allowed / game
385.6#83
Yards / play allowed
5.5#62
Pass yards allowed / game
218.0#61
Rush yards allowed / game
167.6#93
3rd down % allowed
40.7%#90
Sacks
25#69
Tackles for loss
94#9
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
-5#103
Takeaways
12#106
Giveaways
17#73
Penalties / game
6.9#102
Penalty yards / game
59.5#95
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
13
Avg stars
3.00
Avg rating
0.8527
13 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakeyleon Graves#474 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8889 | Kilgore, TX |
| Tavon Bell#867 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8700 | Winnsboro, LA |
| Blake McLane#1422 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8622 | McKinney, TX |
| Jayden Flournoy#1687 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8567 | Burleson, TX |
| Juntavious Harris#1687 nat'l | RB | ★★★★★ | 0.8567 | Euless, TX |
| Eric Perkins#1816 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8544 | Marshall, TX |
| Darius Davis#1838 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8533 | San Marcos, TX |
| Dameon Crowe#1871 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8522 | Richardson, TX |
| Teagan Lindsey#2291 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8433 | Callisburg, TX |
| Braylon Young#2302 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8422 | Denton, TX |
| Cameron Christian#2313 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8400 | Kilgore, TX |
| Russell Crawford#2511 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8378 | Marshall, TX |
| Terrance Brown#2805 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8278 | Killeen, TX |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-6 | 3-5 | 54% | 8.8 | -1.8 |
| 2024 | 8-5 | 5-3 | 62% | 8.6 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 62% | 8.5 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 33% | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 33% | 2.4 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 17% | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 25% | 2.8 | +0.2 |
| 2018 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 25% | 5.0 | -2.0 |
| 2017 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 17% | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 2016 | 2-10 | 0-8 | 17% | 1.2 | +0.8 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).