#84Hunter Welcing
Hunter Welcing is a Versatile TE for Northwestern. Hunter's 2025 season produced 16.5 total EPA across 32 plays.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the TE mean. Model correlation r≈0.42 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.69 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 2.87 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Western Illinois.
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Thompson | Tulane | 2024 | 48 | 0.420 | 0.4 | 20.2 |
| Seth Green | Minnesota | 2018 | 83 | 0.390 | 0.0 | 32.4 |
| Johnny Langan | Rutgers | 2020 | 59 | 0.300 | 0.0 | 17.7 |
| Evan Svoboda | Wyoming | 2024 | 75 | 0.290 | 0.0 | 21.8 |
| Jordan Myers | Rice | 2021 | 59 | 0.270 | 0.2 | 15.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Tulane | L3-23 | 6.3 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | -0.60 |
| 2 | vsWestern Illinois | W42-7 | — | 2 | 34 | 17.0 | 1 | 28 | 2.87 |
| 3 | vsOregon | L14-34 | 25.9 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 12 | 0.86 |
| 5 | vsUCLA | W17-14 | -8.7 | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | 0 | 22 | 1.49 |
| 6 | vsUL Monroe | W42-7 | -21.6 | 4 | 32 | 8.0 | 0 | 17 | 0.62 |
| 8 | vsPurdue | W19-0 | -6.1 | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | 1 | 15 | 0.63 |
| 9 | @Nebraska | L21-28 | 6.2 | 2 | 29 | 14.5 | 0 | 22 | — |
| 11 | @USC | L17-38 | 16.9 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | -0.35 |
| 12 | vsMichigan | L22-24 | 12.4 | 4 | 81 | 20.3 | 0 | 36 | 0.59 |
| 13 | vsMinnesota | W38-35 | 1.5 | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | 0 | 15 | 1.03 |
| 14 | @Illinois | L13-20 | 12.9 | 4 | 15 | 3.8 | 0 | 5 | 0.22 |
| 1 | vsCentral Michigan | W34-7 | -8.8 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 0 | 13 | -0.02 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.55
- Passing downs
- 0.42
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.52 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).