Scores
Dev
← Player leaders
J.T. Barrett

#16J.T. Barrett

Line value
14.1 pts
NFL Draft Outlook1st Round· model estimate based on position rank

J.T. Barrett is a 3-year Dual-Threat QB for Ohio State. J.T.'s 2017 season ranks in the 78th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 463 plays — a above-average rate for the QB.

2017 Production

Passing
240/371 Comp/Att3053 Pass yards35 Pass TD9 INT64.7% Comp %
Rushing
798 Rush yards12 Rush TD165 Carries4.8 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2017 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)78th %ile · above avg
Game-to-game consistency82th %ile · above avg
Career trajectory:→ Stable
Key findings
  • Above-average efficiency for the QB position (78th percentile).
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.22 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.86 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Nebraska (SP+ 3).

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Tanner MordecaiSMU20215100.63014.0321.5
Malik CunninghamLouisville20215020.68114.7341.6
Kaidon SalterLiberty20234860.71114.7345.6
Blake SimsAlabama20144730.69615.4329.4
Stetson BennettGeorgia20225090.63512.4323.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Indiana: +0.41 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Oklahoma: -0.01 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Army: +0.38 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs UNLV: +0.76 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Rutgers: +0.62 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Maryland: +0.58 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Nebraska: +0.86 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Penn State: +0.30 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Iowa: +0.19 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Michigan State: +0.48 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Illinois: +0.52 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Michigan: +0.22 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Wisconsin: +0.23 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs USC: +0.11 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1@IndianaW49-2110.220/353043076.76110.41
2vsOklahomaL16-3125.519/351830121.1660-0.01
3vsArmyW38-7-5.325/332702088.33210.38
4vsUNLVW54-21-14.512/172095098.81500.76
5@RutgersW56-0-5.515/232863093.57800.62
6vsMarylandW62-14-4.520/312613093.15910.58
7@NebraskaW56-142.527/333255098.34820.86
9vsPenn StateW39-3826.033/393284079.39500.30
10@IowaL24-559.818/342083433.26300.19
11vsMichigan StateW48-313.814/211832294.05520.48
12vsIllinoisW52-14-7.411/191412091.53310.52
13@MichiganW31-2019.63/8301070.96710.22
14vsWisconsinW27-2126.812/262112232.06010.23
1vsUSCW24-717.911/171140074.46620.11

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
50.9%
Passing plays
84.0%
Rushing plays
26.1%
Standard downs
47.4%
Passing downs
61.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.33
Passing downs
0.49
Pass / Rush EPA
0.39 / 0.36

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
20162017
2014 — 2017 · 39 games
SeasonTeamLine valueWEPA/playYoY ΔTotal EPA
2014Ohio State
11
0.558292.3
2016Ohio State
7.5
0.410-0.15250.1
2017Ohio State
14.1
0.593+0.18341.6

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.