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Jaxson Dart

#2Jaxson Dart

Line value
6.5 pts
NFL Draft OutlookDay 3 (Rds 4–7)· model estimate based on position rank

Jaxson Dart is a 3-year Dual-Threat QB for Ole Miss. Jaxson's 2022 season ranks in the 20th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 448 plays — a developing rate for the QB. Jaxson's production has improved each season, a positive development trajectory.

2022 Production

Passing
226/361 Comp/Att2975 Pass yards20 Pass TD10 INT62.6% Comp %
Rushing
613 Rush yards1 Rush TD128 Carries4.8 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2022 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)20th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency76th %ile · above avg
Career trajectory:↑ Rising
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • Career trajectory is upward — WEPA value has improved season over season.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.25 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 1.00 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Vanderbilt (SP+ -5).

NIL Market Tier· 2022

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Troy: +0.24 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Central Arkansas: +0.76 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Georgia Tech: +0.29 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Tulsa: +0.24 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Kentucky: +0.15 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Vanderbilt: +1.00 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Auburn: +0.50 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs LSU: +0.16 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Texas A&M: +0.22 EPA/play9Wk 11 vs Alabama: +0.13 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Arkansas: +0.02 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Mississippi State: +0.24 EPA/play13Wk 1 vs Texas Tech: +0.41 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsTroyW28-108.118/271541179.74000.24
2vsCentral ArkansasW59-310/1518220-1.0500.76
3@Georgia TechW42-0-11.810/162070177.14000.29
4vsTulsaW35-27-6.113/241542081.111600.24
5vsKentuckyW22-1913.015/292130171.74000.15
6@VanderbiltW52-28-4.725/324483289.61501.00
7vsAuburnW48-345.19/191303180.711500.50
8@LSUL20-4516.219/342840164.8600.16
9@Texas A&MW31-289.113/201403085.09500.22
11vsAlabamaL24-3030.318/312121058.73500.13
12@ArkansasL27-4212.021/362401136.44400.02
13vsMississippi StateL22-2415.430/382502070.3-400.24
1vsTexas TechL25-428.525/40361226610.41

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
48.5%
Passing plays
92.7%
Rushing plays
19.4%
Standard downs
41.4%
Passing downs
65.6%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.26
Passing downs
0.36
Pass / Rush EPA
0.33 / 0.22

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
20232024
2022 — 2024 · 39 games
SeasonTeamLine valueWEPA/playYoY ΔTotal EPA
2022Ole Miss
6.5
0.442216.2
2023Ole Miss
9.4
0.547+0.11258.3
2024Ole Miss
13
0.587+0.04302.4

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.