Jordan Dwyer is a Versatile WR for TCU. Jordan's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 72 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Peak game: 1.42 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs North Carolina (SP+ -7).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @North Carolina | W48-14 | -6.6 | 9 | 136 | 15.1 | 1 | 33 | 1.42 |
| 3 | vsAbilene Christian | W42-21 | — | 5 | 89 | 17.8 | 1 | 31 | 0.72 |
| 4 | vsSMU | W35-24 | 13.4 | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | 0 | 14 | 0.05 |
| 5 | @Arizona State | L24-27 | 3.9 | 3 | 42 | 14.0 | 0 | 19 | 0.43 |
| 6 | vsColorado | W35-21 | -8.3 | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | 0 | 13 | 0.57 |
| 7 | @Kansas State | L28-41 | 7.0 | 2 | 32 | 16.0 | 0 | 16 | 0.02 |
| 8 | vsBaylor | W42-36 | 1.4 | 7 | 111 | 15.9 | 1 | 41 | 0.76 |
| 9 | @West Virginia | W23-17 | -6.8 | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | 0 | 11 | — |
| 11 | vsIowa State | L17-20 | 9.9 | 11 | 108 | 9.8 | 1 | 19 | 0.53 |
| 12 | @BYU | L13-44 | 15.9 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 15 | 0.07 |
| 13 | @Houston | W17-14 | 7.4 | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | 1 | 17 | -0.09 |
| 14 | vsCincinnati | W45-23 | 4.5 | 3 | 84 | 28.0 | 2 | 69 | 1.22 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.53
- Passing downs
- 0.67
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.59 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).