#2Jordan Napier
Jordan Napier is a Versatile WR for San Diego State. Jordan's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 63 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Peak game: 1.73 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Colorado State (SP+ -16).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Kinamon | Air Force | 2021 | 39 | 0.410 | 0.7 | 16.0 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Micah Davis | Air Force | 2021 | 44 | 0.370 | 0.6 | 16.3 |
| JoJo Natson | Utah State | 2014 | 51 | 0.390 | 1.0 | 19.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsStony Brook | W42-0 | — | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | 0 | 8 | -0.58 |
| 2 | @Washington State | L13-36 | 3.8 | 7 | 69 | 9.9 | 0 | 23 | -0.11 |
| 4 | vsCalifornia | W34-0 | -3.2 | 9 | 154 | 17.1 | 1 | 80 | 0.97 |
| 5 | @Northern Illinois | W6-3 | -16.7 | 6 | 52 | 8.7 | 0 | 19 | 0.23 |
| 6 | vsColorado State | W45-24 | -15.6 | 7 | 153 | 21.9 | 1 | 61 | 1.73 |
| 7 | @Nevada | W44-10 | -13.4 | 5 | 110 | 22.0 | 0 | 41 | 1.50 |
| 9 | @Fresno State | W23-0 | 1.8 | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | 0 | 7 | — |
| 10 | vsWyoming | W24-7 | -11.3 | 4 | 43 | 10.8 | 0 | 22 | 0.54 |
| 11 | @Hawai'i | L6-38 | 1.7 | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | 0 | 13 | 1.07 |
| 12 | vsBoise State | W17-7 | 3.1 | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.01 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.41
- Passing downs
- 0.57
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.49 / 0.20
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).