Joseph Williams is a Slot Specialist WR for Colorado. Joseph's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 52 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.56 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 3.61 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Wyoming (SP+ -11).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsGeorgia Tech | L20-27 | 9.3 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 10 | -0.51 |
| 2 | vsDelaware | W31-7 | -10.9 | 4 | 55 | 13.8 | 0 | 31 | 0.42 |
| 3 | @Houston | L20-36 | 7.4 | 3 | 52 | 17.3 | 1 | 37 | 1.01 |
| 4 | vsWyoming | W37-20 | -11.3 | 1 | 47 | 47.0 | 1 | 47 | 3.61 |
| 5 | vsBYU | L21-24 | 15.9 | 5 | 56 | 11.2 | 0 | 26 | 0.68 |
| 6 | @TCU | L21-35 | 8.3 | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | 0 | 13 | 0.32 |
| 7 | vsIowa State | W24-17 | 9.9 | 8 | 128 | 16.0 | 1 | 38 | 1.37 |
| 10 | vsArizona | L17-52 | 12.0 | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | 0 | 8 | 0.11 |
| 11 | @West Virginia | L22-29 | -6.8 | 3 | 64 | 21.3 | 1 | 42 | 0.75 |
| 13 | vsArizona State | L17-42 | 3.9 | 7 | 39 | 5.6 | 0 | 15 | -0.14 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.34
- Passing downs
- 0.71
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.54 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).