#5Josiah Freeman
Josiah Freeman is a Slot Specialist WR for Fresno State. Josiah's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 77 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.20 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.47 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Oregon State (SP+ -16).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Kansas | L7-31 | 4.1 | 3 | 43 | 14.3 | 0 | 21 | 0.26 |
| 1 | vsGeorgia Southern | W42-14 | -9.4 | 3 | 24 | 8.0 | 0 | 11 | 0.26 |
| 2 | @Oregon State | W36-27 | -15.9 | 5 | 82 | 16.4 | 0 | 30 | 1.47 |
| 4 | @Hawai'i | W23-21 | 1.7 | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 0 | 13 | 0.05 |
| 6 | vsNevada | W20-17 | -13.4 | 3 | 40 | 13.3 | 2 | 24 | 1.23 |
| 7 | @Colorado State | L21-49 | -15.6 | 7 | 89 | 12.7 | 2 | 26 | 0.26 |
| 9 | vsSan Diego State | L0-23 | 6.7 | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | 0 | 12 | — |
| 10 | @Boise State | W30-7 | 3.1 | 4 | 27 | 6.8 | 0 | 8 | 0.02 |
| 12 | vsWyoming | W24-3 | -11.3 | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 1 | 13 | 0.66 |
| 13 | vsUtah State | L17-28 | -3.1 | 6 | 45 | 7.5 | 0 | 13 | 0.22 |
| 14 | @San José State | W41-14 | -14.3 | 6 | 76 | 12.7 | 1 | 37 | 0.01 |
| 1 | vsMiami (OH) | W18-3 | -3.4 | 7 | 143 | 20.4 | 0 | 51 | 1.03 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.24
- Passing downs
- 0.77
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.53 / 0.62
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).