Junior Vandeross is a Versatile WR for Toledo. Junior's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 96 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.75 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 2.15 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Western Kentucky (SP+ 2).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Kentucky | L16-24 | 1.8 | 7 | 88 | 12.6 | 1 | 22 | 0.85 |
| 2 | vsWestern Kentucky | W45-21 | 1.6 | 5 | 122 | 24.4 | 1 | 71 | 2.15 |
| 3 | vsMorgan State | W60-0 | — | 6 | 45 | 7.5 | 2 | 15 | 1.43 |
| 4 | @Western Michigan | L13-14 | -1.4 | 4 | 3 | 0.8 | 0 | 4 | -0.37 |
| 5 | vsAkron | W45-3 | -13.9 | 9 | 122 | 13.6 | 2 | 28 | 1.18 |
| 7 | @Bowling Green | L23-28 | -12.6 | 6 | 100 | 16.7 | 0 | 39 | 0.83 |
| 8 | vsKent State | W45-10 | -19.3 | 8 | 76 | 9.5 | 1 | 32 | 0.42 |
| 9 | @Washington State | L7-28 | 3.8 | 7 | 52 | 7.4 | 1 | 24 | — |
| 11 | vsNorthern Illinois | W42-3 | -16.7 | 6 | 97 | 16.2 | 1 | 28 | 0.63 |
| 12 | @Miami (OH) | W24-3 | -3.4 | 6 | 44 | 7.3 | 0 | 15 | 0.25 |
| 13 | vsBall State | W38-9 | -23.0 | 7 | 127 | 18.1 | 2 | 63 | -0.06 |
| 14 | @Central Michigan | W21-3 | -8.8 | 4 | 71 | 17.8 | 0 | 24 | 0.66 |
| 1 | vsLouisville | L22-27 | 12.4 | 7 | 61 | 8.7 | 0 | 19 | -0.19 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.30
- Passing downs
- 1.13
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.58 / -0.34
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).