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Justin Garrett

#2Justin Garrett

WR·UTEP·2021

Justin Garrett is a Versatile WR for UTEP. Justin's 2021 season produced 38.4 total EPA across 45 plays.

2021 Production

Receiving
50 Receptions685 Rec yards4 Rec TD13.7 Yards/rec
Returns
5 Kick returns103 KR yards0 KR TD25 Punt returns136 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2021 · vs WR peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyPass-Down
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency71th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 2.47 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs New Mexico (SP+ -19).

NIL Market Tier· 2021

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Quadree HendersonPittsburgh2016630.5301.633.4
DeAndre HughesAir Force2021600.4701.328.2
Keytaon ThompsonMississippi State2017700.4601.232.2
Savion WilliamsTCU2024560.4501.125.2
Javion PoseyFlorida Atlantic2020530.4501.423.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs New Mexico State: -0.31 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs Bethune-Cookman: -0.31 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Boise State: +2.00 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs New Mexico: +2.47 EPA/play4Wk 7 vs Louisiana Tech: +0.61 EPA/play7Wk 10 vs UTSA: +0.77 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs North Texas: +0.68 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Rice: +1.36 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs UAB: +0.19 EPA/play13Wk 1 vs Fresno State: +1.88 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1@New Mexico StateW30-3-24.247418.5036-0.31
1vsBethune-CookmanW38-285459.0114-0.31
2@Boise StateL13-549.423517.50312.00
4vsNew MexicoW20-13-18.6410526.30402.47
5vsOld DominionW28-21-7.434615.3124
6@Southern MissW26-13-14.2
7vsLouisiana TechW19-3-11.65336.60120.61
9@Florida AtlanticL25-28-5.2710915.6044
10vsUTSAL23-446.53268.71100.77
11@North TexasL17-20-6.57699.90320.68
12vsRiceW38-28-22.958216.41231.36
13@UABL25-429.14358.80150.19
1vsFresno StateL24-3110.812626.00261.88

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
7.9%
Passing plays
16.7%
Rushing plays
0.3%
Standard downs
7.2%
Passing downs
9.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.71
Passing downs
1.09
Pass / Rush EPA
0.85 / 1.03

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.