Keelan Marion is a Slot Specialist WR for Miami. Keelan's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 76 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸10 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.52 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 3.16 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Syracuse (SP+ -13).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsNotre Dame | W27-24 | 24.4 | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | 0 | 14 | 0.11 |
| 2 | vsBethune-Cookman | W45-3 | — | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | -0.34 |
| 3 | vsSouth Florida | W49-12 | 11.6 | 6 | 81 | 13.5 | 0 | 36 | 0.95 |
| 4 | vsFlorida | W26-7 | 3.5 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | 0.12 |
| 6 | @Florida State | W28-22 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | -0.22 |
| 8 | vsLouisville | L21-24 | 12.4 | 5 | 33 | 6.6 | 0 | 15 | 0.65 |
| 9 | vsStanford | W42-7 | -11.8 | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | 0 | 11 | — |
| 10 | @SMU | L20-26 | 13.4 | 5 | 77 | 15.4 | 0 | 21 | 1.83 |
| 11 | vsSyracuse | W38-10 | -13.1 | 3 | 116 | 38.7 | 1 | 61 | 3.16 |
| 12 | vsNC State | W41-7 | 4.8 | 7 | 96 | 13.7 | 0 | 35 | 1.34 |
| 13 | @Virginia Tech | W34-17 | -10.1 | 6 | 79 | 13.2 | 0 | 32 | 0.51 |
| 14 | @Pittsburgh | W38-7 | 8.4 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 8 | 0.05 |
| 1 | vsOle Miss | W31-27 | 24.0 | 7 | 114 | 16.3 | 1 | 52 | 0.67 |
| 1 | vsOhio State | W24-14 | 30.1 | 5 | 36 | 7.2 | 0 | 14 | 0.67 |
| 1 | vsIndiana | L21-27 | 32.4 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | 0.67 |
| 1 | @Texas A&M | W10-3 | 20.7 | 3 | 33 | 11.0 | 0 | 20 | 0.67 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.28
- Passing downs
- 1.08
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.67 / -0.18
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).