Kevin Jennings is a Clutch Passer for SMU. Kevin's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 453 plays — a developing rate for the QB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the QB mean. Model correlation r≈0.46 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers
Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.23 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.60 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Syracuse (SP+ -13).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsEast Texas A&M | W42-13 | — | 22/30 | 260 | 2 | 1 | 26.1 | 12 | 1 | 0.55 |
| 2 | vsBaylor | L45-48 | 1.4 | 16/22 | 295 | 3 | 1 | 50.1 | 16 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 3 | @Missouri State | W28-10 | -10.7 | 24/36 | 281 | 1 | 1 | 62.7 | -11 | 0 | 0.25 |
| 4 | @TCU | L24-35 | 8.3 | 24/38 | 290 | 3 | 2 | 76.8 | 13 | 0 | 0.43 |
| 6 | vsSyracuse | W31-18 | -13.1 | 29/35 | 285 | 4 | 1 | 86.0 | -6 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 7 | vsStanford | W34-10 | -11.8 | 22/30 | 247 | 2 | 0 | 76.6 | -19 | 0 | 0.41 |
| 8 | @Clemson | W35-24 | 9.5 | 23/43 | 290 | 2 | 1 | 69.1 | 20 | 0 | 0.21 |
| 9 | @Wake Forest | L12-13 | 5.7 | 21/39 | 171 | 0 | 1 | 40.7 | 7 | 0 | — |
| 10 | vsMiami | W26-20 | 20.7 | 29/44 | 365 | 1 | 0 | 67.6 | -8 | 1 | 0.19 |
| 11 | @Boston College | W45-13 | -8.5 | 16/32 | 326 | 3 | 1 | 49.8 | 1 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 13 | vsLouisville | W38-6 | 12.4 | 29/37 | 303 | 3 | 0 | 93.9 | 2 | 1 | 0.37 |
| 14 | @California | L35-38 | -3.2 | 24/36 | 250 | 2 | 1 | 75.4 | 23 | 1 | 0.17 |
| 1 | vsArizona | W24-19 | 12.0 | 21/32 | 278 | 0 | 3 | — | 4 | 0 | 0.20 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.25
- Passing downs
- 0.41
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.37 / 0.08
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Career · rolling EPA, game by game
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.