KJ Duff is a Vertical Threat WR for Rutgers. KJ's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 79 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Elite deep receiver who stretches the field. Wins downfield, commands safety attention, and creates the threat that opens underneath routes.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Peak game: 1.98 EPA/play in Wk 14 vs Penn State (SP+ 18).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsOhio | W34-31 | -4.0 | 5 | 54 | 10.8 | 1 | 19 | 0.56 |
| 2 | vsMiami (OH) | W45-17 | -3.4 | 6 | 71 | 11.8 | 1 | 21 | 0.89 |
| 3 | vsNorfolk State | W60-10 | — | 6 | 119 | 19.8 | 0 | 32 | 0.65 |
| 4 | vsIowa | L28-38 | 19.7 | 7 | 92 | 13.1 | 0 | 24 | 0.35 |
| 5 | @Minnesota | L28-31 | 1.5 | 6 | 84 | 14.0 | 1 | 21 | 1.02 |
| 7 | @Washington | L19-38 | 18.4 | 3 | 59 | 19.7 | 1 | 32 | 1.38 |
| 8 | vsOregon | L10-56 | 25.9 | 3 | 41 | 13.7 | 0 | 18 | 0.14 |
| 9 | @Purdue | W27-24 | -6.1 | 6 | 241 | 40.2 | 1 | 72 | — |
| 10 | @Illinois | L13-35 | 12.9 | 9 | 93 | 10.3 | 1 | 27 | 0.63 |
| 11 | vsMaryland | W35-20 | 0.6 | 2 | 69 | 34.5 | 0 | 49 | 0.87 |
| 13 | @Ohio State | L9-42 | 30.1 | 2 | 34 | 17.0 | 0 | 22 | 0.79 |
| 14 | vsPenn State | L36-40 | 18.1 | 5 | 127 | 25.4 | 1 | 42 | 1.98 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.54
- Passing downs
- 0.94
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.71 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).