#4Kyri Shoels
Kyri Shoels is a Versatile WR for San José State. Kyri's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 85 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.27 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.30 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs Utah State (SP+ -3).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsCentral Michigan | L14-16 | -8.8 | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | 0.00 |
| 2 | @Texas | L7-38 | 16.2 | 8 | 73 | 9.1 | 0 | 16 | 0.44 |
| 4 | vsIdaho | W31-28 | — | 3 | 35 | 11.7 | 1 | 15 | 1.02 |
| 5 | @Stanford | L29-30 | -11.8 | 10 | 147 | 14.7 | 1 | 33 | 1.04 |
| 6 | vsNew Mexico | W35-28 | 0.9 | 7 | 81 | 11.6 | 0 | 35 | 0.87 |
| 7 | @Wyoming | L28-35 | -11.3 | 4 | 24 | 6.0 | 0 | 9 | 0.10 |
| 8 | @Utah State | L25-30 | -3.1 | 7 | 104 | 14.9 | 0 | 26 | 1.30 |
| 10 | vsHawai'i | W45-38 | 1.7 | 5 | 109 | 21.8 | 0 | 43 | 0.33 |
| 11 | vsAir Force | L16-26 | -3.2 | 6 | 93 | 15.5 | 0 | 40 | 0.55 |
| 12 | @Nevada | L10-55 | -13.4 | 3 | 47 | 15.7 | 0 | 22 | -0.14 |
| 13 | @San Diego State | L3-25 | 6.7 | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | 0 | 14 | 0.23 |
| 14 | vsFresno State | L14-41 | 1.8 | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 0 | 9 | -0.44 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.24
- Passing downs
- 0.85
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.50 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).