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Luke Reynolds

#85Luke Reynolds

Luke Reynolds is a Versatile TE for Penn State. Luke's 2025 season produced 15.9 total EPA across 32 plays.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

4%
projected
band 2%'25 5%6%

Regressed toward the TE mean. Model correlation r≈0.42 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Receiving
26 Receptions257 Rec yards0 Rec TD9.9 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyPass-Down
Player type
Versatile TE

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency60th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • 6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.36 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 3.71 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Nebraska (SP+ 6).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Ty ThompsonTulane2024480.4200.420.2
Seth GreenMinnesota2018830.3900.032.4
Johnny LanganRutgers2020590.3000.017.7
Evan SvobodaWyoming2024750.2900.021.8
Jordan MyersRice2021590.2700.215.9

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Nevada: +0.43 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Florida International: +0.83 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Villanova: +1.31 EPA/play3Wk 5 vs Oregon: -0.06 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs UCLA: +0.51 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Iowa: -0.06 EPA/play8Wk 11 vs Indiana: +0.11 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs Nebraska: +3.71 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Rutgers: +0.31 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Clemson: +0.73 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsNevadaW46-11-13.42115.5080.43
2vsFlorida InternationalW34-0-10.57588.30140.83
3vsVillanovaW52-647318.30221.31
5vsOregonL24-3025.9199.009-0.06
6@UCLAL37-42-8.744611.50170.51
8@IowaL24-2519.73165.307-0.06
11vsIndianaL24-2732.4155.0050.11
13vsNebraskaW37-106.23.71
14@RutgersW40-361.02115.5090.31
1vsClemsonW22-109.522814.00170.73

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
4.9%
Passing plays
10.5%
Rushing plays
0.5%
Standard downs
5.1%
Passing downs
4.4%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.52
Passing downs
0.43
Pass / Rush EPA
0.42 / 1.62

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.