#8Nyck Harbor
Nyck Harbor is a Vertical Threat WR for South Carolina. Nyck's 2025 season produced 35.7 total EPA across 42 plays.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Elite deep receiver who stretches the field. Wins downfield, commands safety attention, and creates the threat that opens underneath routes.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.16 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 4.18 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Alabama (SP+ 15).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsVirginia Tech | W24-11 | -10.1 | 3 | 99 | 33.0 | 1 | 64 | 2.48 |
| 2 | vsSouth Carolina State | W38-10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | -0.30 |
| 3 | vsVanderbilt | L7-31 | 20.3 | 4 | 66 | 16.5 | 0 | 26 | 1.26 |
| 4 | @Missouri | L20-29 | 14.4 | 3 | 45 | 15.0 | 0 | 33 | 0.72 |
| 5 | vsKentucky | W35-13 | 1.8 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 10 | 2.61 |
| 7 | @LSU | L10-20 | 10.3 | 2 | 36 | 18.0 | 0 | 20 | 0.81 |
| 8 | vsOklahoma | L7-26 | 18.3 | 4 | 22 | 5.5 | 1 | 12 | 0.81 |
| 9 | vsAlabama | L22-29 | 14.8 | 1 | 54 | 54.0 | 1 | 54 | 4.18 |
| 10 | @Ole Miss | L14-30 | 24.0 | 3 | 69 | 23.0 | 1 | 47 | 0.07 |
| 12 | @Texas A&M | L30-31 | 20.7 | 3 | 102 | 34.0 | 1 | 80 | -0.03 |
| 14 | vsClemson | L14-28 | 9.5 | 6 | 115 | 19.2 | 1 | 53 | 0.94 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 1.10
- Passing downs
- 0.55
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.84 / 1.13
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).