Patrick Overmyer is a Red Zone Weapon TE for UTSA. Patrick's 2025 season ranks in the 50th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 56 plays — a average rate for the TE.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the TE mean. Model correlation r≈0.42 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers
Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.28 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 1.26 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Temple (SP+ -5).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Langan | Rutgers | 2020 | 59 | 0.300 | 0.0 | 17.7 |
| Evan Svoboda | Wyoming | 2024 | 75 | 0.290 | 0.0 | 21.8 |
| Jordan Myers | Rice | 2021 | 59 | 0.270 | 0.2 | 15.9 |
| Seth Green | Minnesota | 2018 | 83 | 0.390 | 0.0 | 32.4 |
| Johnny Langan | Rutgers | 2021 | 37 | 0.240 | 0.0 | 8.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Texas A&M | L24-42 | 20.7 | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | 7 | -0.15 |
| 2 | vsTexas State | L36-43 | 2.3 | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.47 |
| 3 | vsIncarnate Word | W48-20 | — | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | 4 | 0.10 |
| 4 | @Colorado State | W17-16 | -15.6 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | 0.19 |
| 6 | @Temple | L21-27 | -5.1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 1 | 7 | 1.26 |
| 7 | vsRice | W61-13 | -14.8 | — | — | — | — | — | -0.17 |
| 8 | @North Texas | L17-55 | 13.8 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | 0.25 |
| 10 | vsTulane | W48-26 | 6.3 | 4 | 68 | 17.0 | 0 | 44 | 1.13 |
| 11 | @South Florida | L23-55 | 11.6 | 1 | 45 | 45.0 | 1 | 45 | 0.10 |
| 12 | @Charlotte | W28-7 | -26.7 | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | 0 | 11 | 0.35 |
| 13 | vsEast Carolina | W58-24 | 8.0 | 3 | 58 | 19.3 | 0 | 37 | 0.39 |
| 14 | vsArmy | L24-27 | 0.8 | 6 | 73 | 12.2 | 2 | 40 | 0.17 |
| 1 | vsFlorida International | W57-20 | -10.5 | 2 | 50 | 25.0 | 1 | 34 | 0.27 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.40
- Passing downs
- 0.04
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.28 / 0.43
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).