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Rocco Becht

#3Rocco Becht

Line value
6.2 pts
NFL Draft OutlookDay 3 (Rds 4–7)· model estimate based on position rank

Rocco Becht is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Iowa State. Rocco's 2024 season ranks in the 18th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 534 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

2024 Production

Passing
272/457 Comp/Att3505 Pass yards25 Pass TD9 INT59.5% Comp %
Rushing
318 Rush yards8 Rush TD98 Carries3.2 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)18th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency83th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.13 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.79 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Baylor (SP+ 8).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Jordan TravisFlorida State20216900.47610.1328.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs North Dakota: +0.54 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Iowa: +0.24 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs Arkansas State: +0.68 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Houston: +0.27 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Baylor: +0.79 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs West Virginia: +0.43 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs UCF: +0.14 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Texas Tech: +0.20 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Kansas: +0.53 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Cincinnati: +0.51 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Utah: +0.19 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Kansas State: +0.02 EPA/play14Wk 15 vs Arizona State: +0.30 EPA/play15Wk 1 vs Miami: +0.42 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsNorth DakotaW21-320/262672064.5810.54
2@IowaW20-1915.823/352722166.4300.24
4vsArkansas StateW52-7-9.911/182042163.9710.68
5@HoustonW20-0-8.217/281531068.1900.27
6vsBaylorW43-218.416/252772192.42800.79
7@West VirginiaW28-162.118/262651081.0000.43
8vsUCFW38-352.820/462741255.39720.14
10vsTexas TechL22-234.323/392992140.4100.20
11vsKansasL36-454.924/373833170.6900.53
12vsCincinnatiW34-17-0.124/332341083.34810.51
13@UtahW31-287.720/382561184.92710.19
14vsKansas StateW29-2114.113/351372052.93510.02
15vsArizona StateL19-459.421/352142162.42300.30
1vsMiamiW42-4121.622/362703077.22310.42

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
56.3%
Passing plays
96.9%
Rushing plays
17.0%
Standard downs
44.9%
Passing downs
82.6%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.26
Passing downs
0.44
Pass / Rush EPA
0.29 / 0.59

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2024
2023 — 2024 · 27 games
SeasonTeamLine valueWEPA/playYoY ΔTotal EPA
2023Iowa State
10.4
0.624251.3
2024Iowa State
6.2
0.416-0.21231.8

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.