#81Rocky Beers
Rocky Beers is a Red Zone Weapon TE for Colorado State. Rocky's 2025 season produced 26.3 total EPA across 36 plays.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the TE mean. Model correlation r≈0.42 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers
Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.27 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.26 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs New Mexico (SP+ 1).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Thompson | Tulane | 2024 | 48 | 0.420 | 0.4 | 20.2 |
| Seth Green | Minnesota | 2018 | 83 | 0.390 | 0.0 | 32.4 |
| Johnny Langan | Rutgers | 2020 | 59 | 0.300 | 0.0 | 17.7 |
| Evan Svoboda | Wyoming | 2024 | 75 | 0.290 | 0.0 | 21.8 |
| Jordan Myers | Rice | 2021 | 59 | 0.270 | 0.2 | 15.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vsUTSA | L16-17 | 3.7 | 4 | 38 | 9.5 | 1 | 16 | 0.84 |
| 5 | vsWashington State | L3-20 | 3.8 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 10 | 0.52 |
| 6 | @San Diego State | L24-45 | 6.7 | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | 0 | 14 | 0.73 |
| 7 | vsFresno State | W49-21 | 1.8 | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | 2 | 20 | 0.96 |
| 9 | @Wyoming | L0-28 | -11.3 | 1 | 30 | 30.0 | 0 | 30 | — |
| 11 | vsUNLV | L10-42 | 4.3 | 4 | 61 | 15.3 | 1 | 48 | 0.18 |
| 12 | @New Mexico | L17-20 | 0.9 | 7 | 67 | 9.6 | 1 | 21 | 1.26 |
| 13 | @Boise State | L21-49 | 3.1 | 7 | 94 | 13.4 | 1 | 40 | 0.85 |
| 14 | vsAir Force | L21-42 | -3.2 | 2 | 42 | 21.0 | 1 | 38 | -0.32 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.78
- Passing downs
- 0.67
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.73 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).