Sam Ehlinger is a 3-year Dual-Threat QB for Texas. Sam's 2019 season ranks in the 65th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 604 plays — a average rate for the QB.
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trace McSorley | Penn State | 2017 | 626 | 0.513 | 12.7 | 321.0 |
| Bailey Zappe | Western Kentucky | 2021 | 620 | 0.600 | 13.3 | 372.0 |
| Ryan Higgins | Louisiana Tech | 2016 | 571 | 0.586 | 13.7 | 334.6 |
| Baker Mayfield | Oklahoma | 2015 | 577 | 0.561 | 14.1 | 323.7 |
| Clayton Tune | Houston | 2022 | 652 | 0.542 | 13.7 | 353.3 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsLouisiana Tech | W45-14 | 0.2 | 28/38 | 276 | 4 | 0 | 90.7 | 34 | 0 | 0.28 |
| 2 | vsLSU | L38-45 | 33.1 | 31/47 | 401 | 4 | 0 | 75.4 | 60 | 1 | 0.33 |
| 3 | vsRice | W48-13 | -18.0 | 23/27 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Texas | 10 | 0.487 | — | 309.0 |
| 2019 | Texas | 13.2 | 0.535 | +0.05 | 349.0 |
| 2020 | Texas | 9.1 | 0.480 | -0.06 | 222.4 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 12/18 · Pass Yds 201 · Pass TD 3 · INT 1
| 279 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 96.8 |
| 27 |
| 0 |
| 0.72 |
| 4 | vsOklahoma State | W36-30 | 8.7 | 20/28 | 281 | 4 | 1 | 88.6 | 70 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 6 | @West Virginia | W42-31 | -7.0 | 18/33 | 211 | 2 | 1 | 70.2 | 45 | 2 | 0.41 |
| 7 | vsOklahoma | L27-34 | 22.9 | 26/38 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 35.2 | -9 | 2 | 0.18 |
| 8 | vsKansas | W50-48 | -9.8 | 31/44 | 399 | 4 | 1 | 90.0 | 91 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 9 | @TCU | L27-37 | 6.7 | 22/48 | 321 | 2 | 4 | 44.5 | 43 | 0 | 0.31 |
| 11 | vsKansas State | W27-24 | 6.0 | 22/29 | 263 | 1 | 1 | — | 40 | 0 | 0.24 |
| 12 | @Iowa State | L21-23 | 12.6 | 22/40 | 273 | 3 | 0 | — | 27 | 0 | 0.25 |
| 13 | @Baylor | L10-24 | 17.8 | 22/37 | 200 | 0 | 1 | — | 79 | 0 | -0.04 |
| 14 | vsTexas Tech | W49-24 | 2.7 | 19/27 | 348 | 2 | 0 | — | 83 | 1 | 0.76 |
| 1 | vsUtah | W38-10 | 19.5 | 12/18 | 201 | 3 | 1 | — | 73 | 1 | 0.59 |
