Shelton Sampson Jr. is a Red Zone Weapon WR for Louisiana. Shelton's 2025 season produced 30.6 total EPA across 34 plays.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 1.27 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 2.22 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs South Alabama (SP+ -13).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsRice | L12-14 | -14.8 | 4 | 59 | 14.8 | 0 | 25 | 0.20 |
| 2 | vsMcNeese | W34-10 | — | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | 4 | -0.48 |
| 4 | @Eastern Michigan | L31-34 | -14.7 | 3 | 87 | 29.0 | 0 | 43 | 1.45 |
| 9 | @Troy | L23-35 | -4.8 | 5 | 74 | 14.8 | 1 | 36 | — |
| 10 | @South Alabama | W31-22 | -12.7 | 6 | 138 | 23.0 | 2 | 45 | 2.22 |
| 11 | vsTexas State | W42-39 | 2.3 | 5 | 80 | 16.0 | 2 | 21 | 1.82 |
| 13 | @Arkansas State | W34-30 | -8.8 | 3 | 35 | 11.7 | 0 | 22 | 1.77 |
| 14 | vsUL Monroe | W30-27 | -21.6 | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | 0 | 10 | 1.13 |
| 1 | vsDelaware | L13-20 | -10.9 | 3 | 42 | 14.0 | 1 | 28 | 1.90 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.44
- Passing downs
- 1.64
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.90 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).