Tanner Koziol is a Versatile TE for Houston. Tanner's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 77 plays — a elite rate for the TE.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the TE mean. Model correlation r≈0.42 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.39 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 1.52 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Oregon State (SP+ -16).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Thompson | Tulane | 2024 | 48 | 0.420 | 0.4 | 20.2 |
| Seth Green | Minnesota | 2018 | 83 | 0.390 | 0.0 | 32.4 |
| Johnny Langan | Rutgers | 2020 | 59 | 0.300 | 0.0 | 17.7 |
| Evan Svoboda | Wyoming | 2024 | 75 | 0.290 | 0.0 | 21.8 |
| Jordan Myers | Rice | 2021 | 59 | 0.270 | 0.2 | 15.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsStephen F. Austin | W27-0 | — | 7 | 63 | 9.0 | 1 | 23 | 0.94 |
| 2 | @Rice | W35-9 | -14.8 | 6 | 52 | 8.7 | 0 | 21 | 0.16 |
| 3 | vsColorado | W36-20 | -8.3 | 4 | 33 | 8.3 | 0 | 21 | 0.24 |
| 5 | @Oregon State | W27-24 | -15.9 | 6 | 86 | 14.3 | 1 | 50 | 1.52 |
| 6 | vsTexas Tech | L11-35 | 27.6 | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 0 | 6 | -0.81 |
| 7 | @Oklahoma State | W39-17 | -15.1 | 5 | 66 | 13.2 | 0 | 29 | 0.28 |
| 8 | vsArizona | W31-28 | 12.0 | 6 | 40 | 6.7 | 1 | 15 | 0.36 |
| 9 | @Arizona State | W24-16 | 3.9 | 7 | 100 | 14.3 | 1 | 32 | — |
| 10 | vsWest Virginia | L35-45 | -6.8 | 5 | 54 | 10.8 | 1 | 25 | 1.08 |
| 11 | @UCF | W30-27 | -1.2 | 8 | 66 | 8.3 | 0 | 14 | 0.89 |
| 13 | vsTCU | L14-17 | 8.3 | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | 0 | 19 | 0.27 |
| 14 | @Baylor | W31-24 | 1.4 | 7 | 59 | 8.4 | 0 | 13 | 0.78 |
| 1 | vsLSU | W38-35 | 10.3 | 9 | 76 | 8.4 | 1 | 22 | 0.89 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.49
- Passing downs
- 0.95
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.66 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).