Toby Payne is a Versatile TE for Marshall. Toby's 2025 season produced 22.0 total EPA across 38 plays.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the TE mean. Model correlation r≈0.42 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.13 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.52 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Georgia State (SP+ -25).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Thompson | Tulane | 2024 | 48 | 0.420 | 0.4 | 20.2 |
| Seth Green | Minnesota | 2018 | 83 | 0.390 | 0.0 | 32.4 |
| Johnny Langan | Rutgers | 2020 | 59 | 0.300 | 0.0 | 17.7 |
| Evan Svoboda | Wyoming | 2024 | 75 | 0.290 | 0.0 | 21.8 |
| Jordan Myers | Rice | 2021 | 59 | 0.270 | 0.2 | 15.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vsMissouri State | L20-21 | -10.7 | 4 | 43 | 10.8 | 0 | 26 | -0.06 |
| 3 | vsEastern Kentucky | W38-7 | — | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 0 | 18 | 0.58 |
| 4 | @Middle Tennessee | W42-28 | -16.0 | 4 | 46 | 11.5 | 2 | 20 | 1.49 |
| 5 | @Louisiana | L51-54 | -10.1 | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | 0 | 14 | 0.50 |
| 7 | vsOld Dominion | W48-24 | 5.9 | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 0 | 21 | 0.68 |
| 8 | vsTexas State | W40-37 | 2.3 | 5 | 46 | 9.2 | 0 | 16 | 0.34 |
| 10 | @Coastal Carolina | L27-44 | -15.1 | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | 0 | 15 | 0.68 |
| 11 | vsJames Madison | L23-35 | 12.3 | 3 | 14 | 4.7 | 0 | 8 | 0.23 |
| 12 | @Georgia State | W30-18 | -24.5 | 5 | 110 | 22.0 | 1 | 48 | 1.52 |
| 13 | @App State | L24-26 | -11.4 | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | 0 | 9 | 0.32 |
| 14 | vsGeorgia Southern | L19-24 | -9.4 | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | -0.23 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.68
- Passing downs
- 0.22
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.60 / -0.20
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).