Tommy Armstrong Jr. is a 3-year Dual-Threat QB for Nebraska. Tommy's 2016 season ranks in the 25th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 403 plays — a developing rate for the QB. Tommy's production has improved each season, a positive development trajectory.
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsFresno State | W43-10 | -16.9 | 5/10 | 108 | 1 | 0 | 74.7 | 42 | 2 | 0.60 |
| 2 | vsWyoming | W52-17 | -6.9 | 20/34 | 377 | 3 | 1 | 72.5 | 12 | 1 | 0.30 |
| 3 | vsOregon | W35-32 | 6.1 | 17/33 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Nebraska | 5.5 | 0.394 | — | 185.4 |
| 2015 | Nebraska | 8.6 | 0.457 | +0.06 | 239.6 |
| 2016 | Nebraska | 6.1 | 0.436 | -0.02 | 186.9 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 13/35 · Pass Yds 125 · Pass TD 1 · INT 0
| 200 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 72.2 |
| 95 |
| 1 |
| 0.26 |
| 4 | @Northwestern | W24-13 | 2.9 | 18/29 | 246 | 1 | 0 | 93.8 | 132 | 0 | 0.62 |
| 5 | vsIllinois | W31-16 | -6.7 | 16/23 | 220 | 1 | 1 | 75.3 | 12 | 1 | 0.54 |
| 7 | @Indiana | W27-22 | 4.6 | 10/26 | 208 | 1 | 2 | 35.9 | 36 | 0 | 0.34 |
| 8 | vsPurdue | W27-14 | -11.0 | 17/31 | 252 | 1 | 1 | 75.5 | 51 | 1 | 0.49 |
| 9 | @Wisconsin | L17-23 | 16.1 | 12/31 | 153 | 0 | 2 | 15.9 | 39 | 1 | -0.06 |
| 10 | @Ohio State | L3-62 | 22.4 | 4/15 | 74 | 0 | 1 | 39.6 | 19 | 0 | -0.13 |
| 11 | vsMinnesota | W24-17 | 12.6 | 19/27 | 217 | 2 | 0 | 84.2 | 61 | 1 | 0.52 |
| 13 | @Iowa | L10-40 | 10.3 | 13/35 | 125 | 1 | 0 | 15.2 | 13 | 0 | 0.07 |
