Tray Taylor is a Slot Specialist WR for Troy. Tray's 2025 season produced 42.9 total EPA across 48 plays.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.14 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.93 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Texas State (SP+ 2).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsNicholls | W38-20 | — | 1 | 28 | 28.0 | 1 | 28 | 0.98 |
| 2 | @Clemson | L16-27 | 9.5 | 4 | 69 | 17.3 | 1 | 44 | 1.17 |
| 4 | @Buffalo | W21-17 | -7.5 | 4 | 20 | 5.0 | 0 | 9 | 0.11 |
| 6 | vsSouth Alabama | W31-24 | -12.7 | 2 | 74 | 37.0 | 0 | 48 | 0.47 |
| 7 | @Texas State | W48-41 | 2.3 | 2 | 50 | 25.0 | 0 | 31 | 1.93 |
| 8 | @UL Monroe | W37-14 | -21.6 | 2 | 89 | 44.5 | 1 | 60 | 1.47 |
| 9 | vsLouisiana | W35-23 | -10.1 | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | 0 | 9 | — |
| 10 | vsArkansas State | L10-23 | -8.8 | 2 | 56 | 28.0 | 0 | 43 | 1.61 |
| 13 | vsGeorgia State | W31-19 | -24.5 | 6 | 57 | 9.5 | 0 | 17 | 1.30 |
| 14 | @Southern Miss | W28-18 | -7.1 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 14 | 0.24 |
| 15 | @James Madison | L14-31 | 12.3 | 3 | 35 | 11.7 | 0 | 30 | 0.00 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.59
- Passing downs
- 1.25
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 1.01 / 0.33
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).