Tre Spivey is a Red Zone Weapon WR for Arizona. Tre's 2025 season produced 28.1 total EPA across 39 plays.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.97 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 2.70 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Oklahoma State (SP+ -15).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsHawai'i | W40-6 | 1.7 | 1 | 27 | 27.0 | 0 | 27 | 0.36 |
| 2 | vsWeber State | W48-3 | — | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| 3 | vsKansas State | W23-17 | 7.0 | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 0 | 16 | 1.08 |
| 5 | @Iowa State | L14-39 | 9.9 | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 1 | 9 | 1.75 |
| 6 | vsOklahoma State | W41-13 | -15.1 | 3 | 80 | 26.7 | 2 | 45 | 2.70 |
| 7 | vsBYU | L27-33 | 15.9 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 10 | 0.34 |
| 8 | @Houston | L28-31 | 7.4 | 1 | 70 | 70.0 | 1 | 70 | 2.16 |
| 10 | @Colorado | W52-17 | -8.3 | 1 | 57 | 57.0 | 1 | 57 | 1.66 |
| 11 | vsKansas | W24-20 | 4.1 | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 0 | 14 | -0.25 |
| 12 | @Cincinnati | W30-24 | 4.5 | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 0 | 15 | 0.08 |
| 13 | vsBaylor | W41-17 | 1.4 | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | 8 | 0.24 |
| 14 | @Arizona State | W23-7 | 3.9 | 4 | 31 | 7.8 | 0 | 11 | 0.34 |
| 1 | vsSMU | L19-24 | 13.4 | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | 1 | 12 | -0.40 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.53
- Passing downs
- 1.20
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.70 / 1.02
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).