Will Rogers is a 2-year Clutch Passer for Mississippi State. Will's 2022 season ranks in the 10th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 585 plays — a developing rate for the QB.
Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.
Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Travis | Florida State | 2021 | 690 | 0.476 | 10.1 | 328.3 |
| Sam Hartman | Wake Forest | 2021 | 647 | 0.556 | 11.8 | 359.6 |
| Kyle McCord | Syracuse | 2024 | 632 | 0.509 | 12.1 | 321.4 |
| Trace McSorley | Penn State | 2017 | 626 | 0.513 | 12.7 | 321.0 |
| Casey Thompson | Nebraska | 2021 | 666 | 0.528 | 12.6 | 351.4 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsMemphis | W49-23 | 6.8 | 38/49 | 450 | 5 | 1 | 82.4 | -16 | 0 | 0.49 |
| 2 | @Arizona | W39-17 | -3.2 | 39/49 | 313 | 4 | 1 | 71.3 | -9 | 0 | 0.29 |
| 3 | @LSU | L16-31 | 16.2 | 24/42 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Mississippi State | 8.5 | 0.460 | — | 318.8 |
| 2022 | Mississippi State | 7.2 | 0.420 | -0.04 | 260.0 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 29/44 · Pass Yds 261 · Pass TD 1 · INT 2
| 214 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 41.1 |
| -22 |
| 0 |
| -0.17 |
| 4 | vsBowling Green | W45-14 | -18.1 | 39/50 | 409 | 6 | 0 | 79.1 | -13 | 0 | 0.44 |
| 5 | vsTexas A&M | W42-24 | 9.1 | 31/45 | 329 | 3 | 0 | 84.6 | — | — | 0.45 |
| 6 | vsArkansas | W40-17 | 12.0 | 31/48 | 395 | 3 | 0 | 82.5 | — | — | 0.47 |
| 7 | @Kentucky | L17-27 | 13.0 | 25/37 | 203 | 1 | 1 | 65.4 | -8 | 0 | 0.14 |
| 8 | @Alabama | L6-30 | 30.3 | 30/60 | 231 | 0 | 0 | 38.9 | -27 | 0 | -0.14 |
| 10 | vsAuburn | W39-33 | 5.1 | 42/59 | 357 | 3 | 1 | 66.1 | -20 | 0 | 0.19 |
| 11 | vsGeorgia | L19-45 | 35.3 | 29/51 | 261 | 1 | 0 | 69.5 | -7 | 0 | -0.03 |
| 12 | vsEast Tennessee State | W56-7 | — | 30/37 | 301 | 5 | 0 | 70.1 | -13 | 0 | 0.58 |
| 13 | @Ole Miss | W24-22 | 16.2 | 27/39 | 239 | 2 | 1 | 27.8 | -37 | 0 | 0.09 |
| 1 | vsIllinois | W19-10 | 15.9 | 29/44 | 261 | 1 | 2 | — | 7 | 0 | 0.16 |