#10Sam Hartman
Sam Hartman is a 4-year Dual-Threat QB for Wake Forest. Sam's 2021 season ranks in the 57th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 599 plays — a average rate for the QB. Sam's production has improved each season, a positive development trajectory.
2021 Production
Performance Analysis · 2021 · vs QB peers
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
- ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
- ▸Career trajectory is upward — WEPA value has improved season over season.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.17 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.99 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs Army (SP+ 5).
NIL Market Tier· 2021
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle McCord | Syracuse | 2024 | 632 | 0.509 | 12.1 | 321.4 |
| Trace McSorley | Penn State | 2017 | 626 | 0.513 | 12.7 | 321.0 |
| Bailey Zappe | Western Kentucky | 2021 | 620 | 0.600 | 13.3 | 372.0 |
| Casey Thompson | Nebraska | 2021 | 666 | 0.528 | 12.6 | 351.4 |
| Sam Ehlinger | Texas | 2019 | 652 | 0.535 | 13.2 | 349.0 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsOld Dominion | W42-10 | -7.4 | 18/27 | 188 | 3 | 0 | 68.9 | -1 | 0 | 0.35 |
| 2 | vsNorfolk State | W41-16 | — | 17/25 | 244 | 1 | 0 | 86.2 | 30 | 1 | 0.65 |
| 3 | vsFlorida State | W35-14 | 7.6 | 22/31 | 259 | 2 | 1 | 83.7 | 37 | 0 | 0.54 |
| 4 | @Virginia | W37-17 | 7.2 | 17/29 | 270 | 3 | 0 | 88.8 | 16 | 0 | 0.66 |
| 5 | vsLouisville | W37-34 | 7.8 | 23/40 | 324 | 2 | 1 | 72.2 | 35 | 1 | 0.32 |
| 6 | @Syracuse | W40-37 | 0.3 | 19/32 | 330 | 3 | 1 | 81.6 | 7 | 1 | 0.54 |
| 8 | @Army | W70-56 | 4.7 | 23/29 | 458 | 5 | 0 | 98.4 | 22 | 1 | 0.99 |
| 9 | vsDuke | W45-7 | -13.5 | 24/37 | 402 | 3 | 0 | 96.2 | 61 | 2 | 0.77 |
| 10 | @North Carolina | L55-58 | 6.4 | 25/51 | 398 | 5 | 2 | 72.9 | 78 | 2 | 0.44 |
| 11 | vsNC State | W45-42 | 16.1 | 20/47 | 290 | 3 | 3 | 72.9 | 43 | 1 | 0.25 |
| 12 | @Clemson | L27-48 | 18.7 | 27/43 | 312 | 1 | 1 | 64.9 | -37 | 0 | 0.19 |
| 13 | @Boston College | W41-10 | 0.9 | 20/32 | 236 | 3 | 1 | 75.7 | 51 | 1 | 0.51 |
| 14 | vsPittsburgh | L21-45 | 17.6 | 21/46 | 213 | 2 | 4 | 52.3 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 |
| 1 | vsRutgers | W38-10 | -3.0 | 23/39 | 304 | 3 | 0 | 81.3 | 21 | 0 | 0.59 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.33
- Passing downs
- 0.62
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.42 / 0.60
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Career · rolling EPA, game by game
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Wake Forest | 5.5 | 0.432 | — | 144.0 |
| 2021 | Wake Forest | 11.8 | 0.556 | +0.12 | 359.6 |
| 2022 | Wake Forest | 12.7 | 0.553 | -0.00 | 319.9 |
| 2023 | Notre Dame | 8.9 | 0.650 | +0.10 | 208.6 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.