Arkansas State Red Wolves
Sun Belt··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1317
#101
SP+
-8.8
#100
O90/D111
FPI
-9.6
SRS
-10.2
AP
NR
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 11 to play5.4 – 5.6
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
5.4
of 11 games
Bowl odds
47%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
86%
vs UL Monroe
Toughest
11%
vs TCU
💬Arkansas State Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
383.3#74
Yards / play
5.2#108
Passing yards / game
259.8#33
Rushing yards / game
123.5#108
First downs / game
22.2#32
3rd down %
39.3%#74
4th down %
60.0%#36
Time of possession
29:31#82
Defense
Yards allowed / game
416.1#113
Yards / play allowed
6.1#116
Pass yards allowed / game
244.3#113
Rush yards allowed / game
171.8#96
3rd down % allowed
41.7%#97
Sacks
39#8
Tackles for loss
81#30
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
-7#112
Takeaways
16#67
Giveaways
23#125
Penalties / game
6.3#82
Penalty yards / game
57.8#91
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
Wk 1@
MemphisSat+11.320%Wk 2vsWest GeorgiaSatWk 3@
TCUSun+16.511%Wk 4vs
Kennesaw StateSat-2.758%Wk 5@
LouisianaSat+3.141%Wk 6vs
South AlabamaThu-1.655%Wk 7@
Southern MissSat+0.748%Wk 8vs
Georgia StateSat-10.678%Wk 10vs
UL MonroeSat-14.486%Wk 11@
Coastal CarolinaSat-3.861%Wk 12@
Louisiana TechThu+7.030%Wk 13vs
TroySat+0.349%
MemphisSat+11.320%Wk 2vsWest GeorgiaSatWk 3@TCUSun+16.511%Wk 4vsKennesaw StateSat-2.758%Wk 5@LouisianaSat+3.141%Wk 6vsSouth AlabamaThu-1.655%Wk 7@Southern MissSat+0.748%Wk 8vsGeorgia StateSat-10.678%Wk 10vsUL MonroeSat-14.486%Wk 11@Coastal CarolinaSat-3.861%Wk 12@Louisiana TechThu+7.030%Wk 13vsTroySat+0.349%2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
17
Avg stars
3.00
Avg rating
0.8405
17 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Baggett#1500 nat'l | RB | ★★★★★ | 0.8600 | Ocean Springs, MS |
| KeAndre Gibson#1500 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8600 | Nashville, TN |
| Ty'lan Fortune#1615 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8589 | Carthage, MS |
| Kena Rego#1750 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8550 | Hoover, AL |
| Brandon Goliday#1924 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8500 | Antioch, TN |
| Dallas Boozer#1924 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8500 | Prosper, TX |
| Jakohri Johnson#1924 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8500 | Duncanville, TX |
| Mckinley McShan#2176 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | Loganville, GA |
| Ashton Moore#2313 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8400 | Brandon, MS |
| Chavel Williams Jr.#2313 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8400 | Hattiesburg, MS |
| Rasheem Turner#2524 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8350 | Sanford, FL |
| Trey Bridges#2524 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8350 | Petal, MS |
| Cooper Sherrod#2620 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8300 | Collierville, TN |
| Rukevwe Eruvwetaghware#2620 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8300 | Wylie, TX |
| Noah Hamlin#2620 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8300 | Milton, FL |
| JB Hoehn#2850 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8200 | Memphis, TN |
| Dawson McFadin#3055 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8000 | Conway, AR |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-6 | 5-3 | 54% | 5.2 | +1.8 |
| 2024 | 8-5 | 5-3 | 62% | 4.6 | +3.4 |
| 2023 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 46% | 5.6 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 25% | 4.0 | -1.0 |
| 2021 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 17% | 2.9 | -0.9 |
| 2020 | 4-7 | 2-6 | 36% | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 2019 | 8-5 | 5-3 | 62% | 6.7 | +1.3 |
| 2018 | 8-5 | 5-3 | 62% | 8.7 | -0.7 |
| 2017 | 7-5 | 6-2 | 58% | 9.4 | -2.4 |
| 2016 | 8-5 | 7-1 | 62% | 8.8 | -0.8 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).