TCU Horned Frogs
Big 12··0-0
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Elo
1670
#35
SP+
8.3
#37
O30/D50
FPI
9.4
SRS
8.5
AP
#24
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 11 to play6.5 – 4.5
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
6.5
of 11 games
Bowl odds
76%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
90%
vs West Virginia
Toughest
9%
vs Texas Tech
💬TCU Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
421.8#27
Yards / play
6.1#32
Passing yards / game
290.1#9
Rushing yards / game
131.8#99
First downs / game
22.2#32
3rd down %
47.4%#14
4th down %
64.0%#24
Time of possession
28:52#100
Defense
Yards allowed / game
379.2#72
Yards / play allowed
5.6#66
Pass yards allowed / game
245.6#117
Rush yards allowed / game
133.5#42
3rd down % allowed
39.9%#74
Sacks
24#76
Tackles for loss
68#68
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
+1#66
Takeaways
21#26
Giveaways
20#104
Penalties / game
6.8#94
Penalty yards / game
62.0#110
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
14
Avg stars
3.29
Avg rating
0.8696
4 4★10 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Ford#288 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.9078 | Arlington, TX |
| Vincent Johnson Jr.#349 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.9005 | Sulphur Springs, TX |
| Carter Buck#401 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8956 | Austin, TX |
| Jason Bradford#409 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8944 | Temple, TX |
| Jack Daulton#622 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.8794 | The Woodlands, TX |
| Ayson Theus#700 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8761 | Duncanville, TX |
| James Scott#805 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8726 | Conroe, TX |
| Duncan McGhee#836 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8714 | Texarkana, TX |
| Brock King#1227 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8667 | Port Arthur, TX |
| Maddox Flynt#1274 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8656 | Austin, TX |
| Jordan Burnett#1171 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8626 | Missouri City, TX |
| Braden Bach#1422 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8622 | Argyle, TX |
| Zachary Hays#2979 nat'l | P | ★★★★★ | 0.8100 | Southlake, TX |
| Will Terry#3047 nat'l | LS | ★★★★★ | 0.8089 | Iowa Colony, TX |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-4 | 5-4 | 69% | 8.1 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 9-4 | 6-3 | 69% | 8.9 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 5-7 | 3-6 | 42% | 6.2 | -1.2 |
| 2022 | 13-2 | 9-1 | 87% | 10.3 | +2.7 |
| 2021 | 5-7 | 3-6 | 42% | 5.8 | -0.8 |
| 2020 | 6-4 | 5-4 | 60% | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 2019 | 5-7 | 3-6 | 42% | 6.6 | -1.6 |
| 2018 | 7-6 | 4-5 | 54% | 5.6 | +1.4 |
| 2017 | 11-3 | 7-3 | 79% | 10.6 | +0.4 |
| 2016 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 46% | 6.4 | -0.4 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).