Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Mountain West··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1459
#78
SP+
1.7
#68
O66/D69
FPI
-5.2
SRS
-3.3
AP
NR
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 10 to play6.2 – 3.8
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
6.2
of 10 games
Bowl odds
70%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
87%
vs San José State
Toughest
27%
vs Arizona State
💬Hawai'i Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
395.3#61
Yards / play
5.7#70
Passing yards / game
290.6#8
Rushing yards / game
104.7#126
First downs / game
20.5#67
3rd down %
44.9%#29
4th down %
60.0%#36
Time of possession
31:57#22
Defense
Yards allowed / game
361.6#61
Yards / play allowed
5.8#90
Pass yards allowed / game
227.2#84
Rush yards allowed / game
134.5#45
3rd down % allowed
36.1%#45
Sacks
29#50
Tackles for loss
62#93
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
-2#81
Takeaways
15#73
Giveaways
17#73
Penalties / game
7.7#129
Penalty yards / game
65.8#122
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
Wk 1@
StanfordSat-2.658%Wk 1vs
UNLVSun+4.138%Wk 2vs
New Mexico StateSat-13.985%Wk 4@
WyomingSat-4.262%Wk 5vs
San José StateSat-14.987%Wk 6@
Arizona StateSat+8.427%Wk 7vs
New MexicoSat-1.053%Wk 8@
Northern IllinoisSat-6.669%Wk 10@
UTEPSat-10.678%Wk 11vs
North Dakota StateSunWk 12@
NevadaSat-4.964%Wk 13vs
Sacramento StateSat
StanfordSat-2.658%Wk 1vsUNLVSun+4.138%Wk 2vsNew Mexico StateSat-13.985%Wk 4@WyomingSat-4.262%Wk 5vsSan José StateSat-14.987%Wk 6@Arizona StateSat+8.427%Wk 7vsNew MexicoSat-1.053%Wk 8@Northern IllinoisSat-6.669%Wk 10@UTEPSat-10.678%Wk 11vsNorth Dakota StateSunWk 12@NevadaSat-4.964%Wk 13vsSacramento StateSat2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
16
Avg stars
3.00
Avg rating
0.8336
16 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Price#1500 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8600 | Boise, ID |
| Marquis Richardson#2116 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8489 | Chandler, AZ |
| Jahren Altura#2176 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | Honolulu, HI |
| Kydel Stone#2176 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | Scottsdale, AZ |
| Maika Eugenio#2281 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.8444 | Las Vegas, NV |
| Vai Fanuaea#2524 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8350 | Waianae, HI |
| Christian Tupuola#2524 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8350 | Kahuku, HI |
| Cooper Troy#2524 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8350 | Calgary, AB |
| Isaiah Nickels#2620 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8300 | Las Vegas, NV |
| Avin Houston#2620 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8300 | San Antonio, TX |
| Masahiro Hopkins#2620 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8300 | Kahuku, HI |
| Hiki Kim Choy Keb Ah Lo#2620 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8300 | Aiea, HI |
| Dillon Booth#2815 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8250 | Irvine, CA |
| TJ Fo'ilefutu#2815 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8250 | Peoria, AZ |
| Keoki Cypriano#2850 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8200 | Kailua, HI |
| Hudson Borsari#3055 nat'l | K | ★★★★★ | 0.8000 | Las Vegas, NV |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-4 | 5-3 | 69% | 7.1 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 42% | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 38% | 4.0 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 23% | 2.9 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 6-7 | 3-5 | 46% | 6.3 | -0.3 |
| 2020 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 56% | 4.1 | +0.9 |
| 2019 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 67% | 8.2 | +1.8 |
| 2018 | 8-6 | 5-3 | 57% | 7.4 | +0.6 |
| 2017 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 25% | 3.9 | -0.9 |
| 2016 | 7-7 | 4-4 | 50% | 6.7 | +0.3 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).