#3Anthony Evans III
Anthony Evans III is a Versatile WR for Mississippi State. Anthony's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 80 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.40 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.76 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Alcorn State.
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Dane Kinamon | Air Force | 2021 | 39 | 0.410 | 0.7 | 16.0 |
| Zach Abey | Navy | 2016 | 70 | 0.370 | 0.8 | 25.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Southern Miss | W34-17 | -7.1 | 4 | 36 | 9.0 | 0 | 19 | 0.40 |
| 2 | vsArizona State | W24-20 | 3.9 | 9 | 108 | 12.0 | 1 | 48 | 0.92 |
| 3 | vsAlcorn State | W63-0 | — | 4 | 66 | 16.5 | 1 | 34 | 1.76 |
| 4 | vsNorthern Illinois | W38-10 | -16.7 | 4 | 80 | 20.0 | 0 | 57 | 1.07 |
| 5 | vsTennessee | L34-41 | 15.0 | 5 | 33 | 6.6 | 0 | 21 | -0.25 |
| 6 | @Texas A&M | L9-31 | 20.7 | 5 | 41 | 8.2 | 0 | 11 | 0.21 |
| 8 | @Florida | L21-23 | 3.5 | 11 | 107 | 9.7 | 0 | 48 | 0.53 |
| 9 | vsTexas | L38-45 | 16.2 | 5 | 71 | 14.2 | 0 | 26 | — |
| 10 | @Arkansas | W38-35 | 5.1 | 5 | 111 | 22.2 | 2 | 45 | 0.35 |
| 11 | vsGeorgia | L21-41 | 24.1 | 4 | 27 | 6.8 | 0 | 19 | -0.17 |
| 12 | @Missouri | L27-49 | 14.4 | 7 | 71 | 10.1 | 0 | 38 | 0.24 |
| 1 | vsWake Forest | L29-43 | 5.7 | 4 | 80 | 20.0 | 0 | 39 | 0.47 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.34
- Passing downs
- 0.66
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.47 / 0.36
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).