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Carnell Tate

#17Carnell Tate

Carnell Tate is a Versatile WR for Ohio State. Carnell's 2024 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 59 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

2024 Production

Receiving
52 Receptions733 Rec yards4 Rec TD14.1 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyPass-Down
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency85th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 14 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.21 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 2.72 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Akron (SP+ -18).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Quadree HendersonPittsburgh2016630.5301.633.4
DeAndre HughesAir Force2021600.4701.328.2
Keytaon ThompsonMississippi State2017700.4601.232.2
Savion WilliamsTCU2024560.4501.125.2
Javion PoseyFlorida Atlantic2020530.4501.423.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Akron: +2.72 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Western Michigan: +0.71 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs Marshall: +0.86 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Michigan State: +2.01 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Oregon: +0.44 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Nebraska: +1.84 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Penn State: +0.91 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Purdue: +0.58 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Northwestern: +1.67 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Indiana: +1.45 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Michigan: +0.33 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Tennessee: +1.15 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs Oregon: +1.15 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs Notre Dame: +1.15 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs Texas: +1.15 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsAkronW52-6-17.945814.51342.72
2vsWestern MichiganW56-0-10.234515.00360.71
4vsMarshallW49-143.146416.00300.86
5@Michigan StateW38-7-4.635217.30292.01
7@OregonL31-3226.011313.00130.44
9vsNebraskaW21-175.5410225.51401.84
10@Penn StateW20-1324.62157.5080.91
11vsPurdueW45-0-16.26569.30170.58
12vsNorthwesternW31-7-8.245213.02251.67
13vsIndianaW38-1520.146817.00251.45
14vsMichiganL10-1310.66589.70130.33
1vsTennesseeW42-1722.011818.00181.15
1vsOregonW41-2126.011010.00101.15
1vsNotre DameW34-2323.923517.50201.15
1vsTexasW28-1424.178712.40181.15

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
6.6%
Passing plays
13.7%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
6.2%
Passing downs
7.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.62
Passing downs
1.47
Pass / Rush EPA
0.89 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.