#16Chauncy Cobb
Chauncy Cobb is a Versatile WR for Arkansas State. Chauncy's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 78 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.33 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.43 EPA/play in Wk 14 vs App State (SP+ -11).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsSoutheast Missouri State | W42-24 | — | 5 | 85 | 17.0 | 0 | 45 | 1.08 |
| 2 | vsArkansas | L14-56 | 5.1 | 4 | 50 | 12.5 | 0 | 18 | 0.60 |
| 3 | vsIowa State | L16-24 | 9.9 | 7 | 81 | 11.6 | 0 | 35 | 0.41 |
| 4 | @Kennesaw State | L21-28 | -5.4 | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | 0 | 17 | 0.42 |
| 5 | @UL Monroe | L16-28 | -21.6 | 8 | 126 | 15.8 | 0 | 31 | 1.39 |
| 6 | vsTexas State | W31-30 | 2.3 | 7 | 39 | 5.6 | 0 | 24 | -0.10 |
| 8 | @South Alabama | W15-14 | -12.7 | 6 | 68 | 11.3 | 0 | 29 | 0.73 |
| 9 | vsGeorgia Southern | W34-24 | -9.4 | 12 | 81 | 6.8 | 0 | 12 | — |
| 10 | @Troy | W23-10 | -4.8 | 4 | 53 | 13.3 | 0 | 51 | -0.11 |
| 11 | vsSouthern Miss | L21-27 | -7.1 | 7 | 26 | 3.7 | 0 | 8 | 0.13 |
| 13 | vsLouisiana | L30-34 | -10.1 | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 0 | 16 | 0.12 |
| 14 | @App State | W30-29 | -11.4 | 5 | 117 | 23.4 | 0 | 43 | 1.43 |
| 1 | vsMissouri State | W34-28 | -10.7 | 4 | 30 | 7.5 | 1 | 11 | -0.04 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.22
- Passing downs
- 1.20
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.57 / -1.42
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).