Holton Ahlers is a 3-year Dual-Threat QB for East Carolina. Holton's 2022 season ranks in the 25th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 524 plays — a developing rate for the QB.
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Travis | Florida State | 2021 | 690 | 0.476 | 10.1 | 328.3 |
| Stetson Bennett | Georgia | 2022 | 509 | 0.635 | 12.4 | 323.0 |
| Kyle McCord | Syracuse | 2024 | 632 | 0.509 | 12.1 | 321.4 |
| Sam Hartman | Wake Forest | 2021 | 647 | 0.556 | 11.8 | 359.6 |
| Trace McSorley | Penn State | 2017 | 626 | 0.513 | 12.7 | 321.0 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsNC State | L20-21 | 6.8 | 25/41 | 267 | 2 | 2 | 73.8 | 57 | 0 | 0.39 |
| 2 | vsOld Dominion | W39-21 | -13.0 | 25/39 | 270 | 2 | 0 | 69.6 | -3 | 0 | 0.26 |
| 3 | vsCampbell | W49-10 | — | 17/20 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | East Carolina | 7.9 | 0.467 | — | 227.3 |
| 2021 | East Carolina | 7.1 | 0.467 | — | 238.5 |
| 2022 | East Carolina | 8.1 | 0.461 | -0.01 | 251.7 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 26/38 · Pass Yds 300 · Pass TD 5 · INT 0
| 263 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 87.5 |
| -5 |
| 1 |
| 0.55 |
| 4 | vsNavy | L20-23 | -7.2 | 22/34 | 267 | 2 | 1 | 58.3 | 23 | 0 | 0.36 |
| 5 | vsSouth Florida | W48-28 | -17.0 | 31/41 | 465 | 6 | 0 | 94.0 | 9 | 0 | 0.92 |
| 6 | @Tulane | L9-24 | 12.4 | 32/51 | 288 | 1 | 2 | 52.6 | 17 | 0 | 0.19 |
| 7 | vsMemphis | W47-45 | 6.8 | 26/34 | 304 | 1 | 0 | 86.5 | 10 | 1 | 0.40 |
| 8 | vsUCF | W34-13 | 10.3 | 30/36 | 311 | 1 | 0 | 92.3 | 6 | 1 | 0.53 |
| 9 | @BYU | W27-24 | -1.4 | 15/22 | 197 | 0 | 0 | 87.3 | 18 | 2 | 0.43 |
| 11 | @Cincinnati | L25-27 | 13.1 | 26/46 | 280 | 2 | 0 | 68.6 | 14 | 0 | 0.22 |
| 12 | vsHouston | L3-42 | 4.5 | 15/30 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 3.5 | -11 | 0 | -0.27 |
| 13 | @Temple | W49-46 | -12.9 | 25/37 | 314 | 3 | 0 | 76.1 | -1 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 1 | vsCoastal Carolina | W53-29 | 0.6 | 26/38 | 300 | 5 | 0 | — | 48 | 1 | 0.56 |