#8Jalen Nailor
Jalen Nailor is a Vertical Threat WR for Michigan State. Jalen's 2021 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 60 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2021 Production
Performance Analysis · 2021 · vs WR peers
Elite deep receiver who stretches the field. Wins downfield, commands safety attention, and creates the threat that opens underneath routes.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 1.23 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 4.11 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Rutgers (SP+ -3).
NIL Market Tier· 2021
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Northwestern | W38-21 | -11.1 | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | 0 | 13 | -0.07 |
| 2 | vsYoungstown State | W42-14 | — | 4 | 39 | 9.8 | 1 | 16 | 0.70 |
| 3 | @Miami | W38-17 | 10.8 | 4 | 82 | 20.5 | 2 | 39 | 0.15 |
| 4 | vsNebraska | W23-20 | 10.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | vsWestern Kentucky | W48-31 | 13.3 | 8 | 128 | 16.0 | 0 | 43 | 1.14 |
| 6 | @Rutgers | W31-13 | -3.0 | 5 | 221 | 44.2 | 3 | 65 | 4.11 |
| 7 | @Indiana | W20-15 | -7.8 | 4 | 22 | 5.5 | 0 | 11 | 0.02 |
| 9 | vsMichigan | W37-33 | 23.4 | 4 | 75 | 18.8 | 0 | 40 | 1.59 |
| 1 | vsPittsburgh | W31-21 | 17.6 | 6 | 108 | 18.0 | 0 | 50 | 0.23 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.62
- Passing downs
- 0.95
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.74 / -0.50
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).