#12Jaron Tibbs
Jaron Tibbs is a Versatile WR for Kansas State. Jaron's 2025 season ranks in the 88th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 73 plays — a above-average rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Above-average efficiency for the WR position (88th percentile).
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.16 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.39 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Army (SP+ 1).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Abey | Navy | 2016 | 70 | 0.370 | 0.8 | 25.9 |
| Dane Kinamon | Air Force | 2021 | 39 | 0.410 | 0.7 | 16.0 |
| Micah Davis | Air Force | 2021 | 44 | 0.370 | 0.6 | 16.3 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Virginia | 2021 | 41 | 0.370 | 0.6 | 15.2 |
| JoJo Natson | Utah State | 2014 | 51 | 0.390 | 1.0 | 19.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsIowa State | L21-24 | 9.9 | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | 0 | 17 | 0.16 |
| 1 | vsNorth Dakota | W38-35 | — | 3 | 55 | 18.3 | 1 | 30 | 0.16 |
| 2 | vsArmy | L21-24 | 0.8 | 5 | 61 | 12.2 | 1 | 32 | 1.39 |
| 3 | @Arizona | L17-23 | 12.0 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | 0.17 |
| 5 | vsUCF | W34-20 | -1.2 | 8 | 72 | 9.0 | 0 | 20 | 0.30 |
| 6 | @Baylor | L34-35 | 1.4 | 6 | 80 | 13.3 | 0 | 30 | 0.67 |
| 7 | vsTCU | W41-28 | 8.3 | 3 | 51 | 17.0 | 0 | 31 | 0.54 |
| 9 | @Kansas | W42-17 | 4.1 | 2 | 43 | 21.5 | 1 | 27 | — |
| 10 | vsTexas Tech | L20-43 | 27.6 | 3 | 54 | 18.0 | 0 | 38 | 0.44 |
| 12 | @Oklahoma State | W14-6 | -15.1 | 2 | 38 | 19.0 | 0 | 27 | 0.04 |
| 13 | @Utah | L47-51 | 22.2 | 6 | 45 | 7.5 | 0 | 11 | 0.30 |
| 14 | vsColorado | W24-14 | -8.3 | 4 | 55 | 13.8 | 0 | 21 | 0.23 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.19
- Passing downs
- 0.71
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.42 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).