#1Jayce Brown
Jayce Brown is a Versatile WR for Kansas State. Jayce's 2025 season ranks in the 88th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 68 plays — a above-average rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Above-average efficiency for the WR position (88th percentile).
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.14 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 1.40 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Oklahoma State (SP+ -15).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Kinamon | Air Force | 2021 | 39 | 0.410 | 0.7 | 16.0 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Zach Abey | Navy | 2016 | 70 | 0.370 | 0.8 | 25.9 |
| Micah Davis | Air Force | 2021 | 44 | 0.370 | 0.6 | 16.3 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsIowa State | L21-24 | 9.9 | 4 | 78 | 19.5 | 1 | 37 | 0.47 |
| 1 | vsNorth Dakota | W38-35 | — | 12 | 109 | 9.1 | 1 | 44 | 0.47 |
| 2 | vsArmy | L21-24 | 0.8 | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | 0 | 17 | -0.11 |
| 3 | @Arizona | L17-23 | 12.0 | 6 | 68 | 11.3 | 0 | 31 | 0.73 |
| 6 | @Baylor | L34-35 | 1.4 | 4 | 106 | 26.5 | 1 | 48 | 1.12 |
| 7 | vsTCU | W41-28 | 8.3 | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | 0 | 11 | 0.34 |
| 9 | @Kansas | W42-17 | 4.1 | 4 | 160 | 40.0 | 1 | 78 | — |
| 10 | vsTexas Tech | L20-43 | 27.6 | 2 | 53 | 26.5 | 0 | 56 | -0.14 |
| 12 | @Oklahoma State | W14-6 | -15.1 | 3 | 82 | 27.3 | 1 | 34 | 1.40 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.46
- Passing downs
- 0.42
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.36 / 1.47
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).