#4Jeremiah Smith
Jeremiah Smith is a Versatile WR for Ohio State. Jeremiah's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 102 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.16 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 2.19 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs Penn State (SP+ 18).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsTexas | W14-7 | 16.2 | 6 | 43 | 7.2 | 0 | 16 | 0.17 |
| 2 | vsGrambling | W70-0 | — | 5 | 119 | 23.8 | 2 | 87 | 2.06 |
| 3 | vsOhio | W37-9 | -4.0 | 9 | 153 | 17.0 | 1 | 47 | 0.89 |
| 5 | @Washington | W24-6 | 18.4 | 8 | 81 | 10.1 | 1 | 19 | 1.08 |
| 6 | vsMinnesota | W42-3 | 1.5 | 7 | 67 | 9.6 | 2 | 31 | 0.93 |
| 7 | @Illinois | W34-16 | 12.9 | 5 | 42 | 8.4 | 1 | 18 | 0.90 |
| 8 | @Wisconsin | W34-0 | -4.4 | 9 | 97 | 10.8 | 0 | 26 | 0.24 |
| 10 | vsPenn State | W38-14 | 18.1 | 6 | 123 | 20.5 | 2 | 57 | 2.19 |
| 11 | @Purdue | W34-10 | -6.1 | 10 | 137 | 13.7 | 1 | 35 | 0.86 |
| 12 | vsUCLA | W48-10 | -8.7 | 4 | 40 | 10.0 | 0 | 18 | 0.28 |
| 14 | @Michigan | W27-9 | 12.4 | 3 | 40 | 13.3 | 1 | 35 | -0.57 |
| 15 | vsIndiana | L10-13 | 32.4 | 8 | 144 | 18.0 | 0 | 52 | 0.95 |
| 1 | vsMiami | L14-24 | 20.7 | 7 | 157 | 22.4 | 1 | 59 | 1.35 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.68
- Passing downs
- 1.16
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.82 / 0.71
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).