#11Joe Royer
Joe Royer is a Versatile TE for Cincinnati. Joe's 2025 season produced 26.4 total EPA across 36 plays.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the TE mean. Model correlation r≈0.42 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.41 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 3.65 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Bowling Green (SP+ -13).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Thompson | Tulane | 2024 | 48 | 0.420 | 0.4 | 20.2 |
| Seth Green | Minnesota | 2018 | 83 | 0.390 | 0.0 | 32.4 |
| Johnny Langan | Rutgers | 2020 | 59 | 0.300 | 0.0 | 17.7 |
| Evan Svoboda | Wyoming | 2024 | 75 | 0.290 | 0.0 | 21.8 |
| Jordan Myers | Rice | 2021 | 59 | 0.270 | 0.2 | 15.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsNebraska | L17-20 | 6.2 | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 0 | 6 | -0.41 |
| 2 | vsBowling Green | W34-20 | -12.6 | 2 | 104 | 52.0 | 0 | 73 | 3.65 |
| 3 | vsNorthwestern State | W70-0 | — | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | 2 | 21 | 1.20 |
| 5 | @Kansas | W37-34 | 4.1 | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | 0 | 20 | 1.31 |
| 6 | vsIowa State | W38-30 | 9.9 | 4 | 20 | 5.0 | 1 | 12 | 0.30 |
| 7 | vsUCF | W20-11 | -1.2 | 2 | 83 | 41.5 | 0 | 67 | 0.55 |
| 8 | @Oklahoma State | W49-17 | -15.1 | 5 | 63 | 12.6 | 1 | 27 | 1.06 |
| 9 | vsBaylor | W41-20 | 1.4 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 0 | 12 | — |
| 10 | @Utah | L14-45 | 22.2 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 10 | -0.27 |
| 12 | vsArizona | L24-30 | 12.0 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | 0.74 |
| 13 | vsBYU | L14-26 | 15.9 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 8 | 0.48 |
| 14 | @TCU | L23-45 | 8.3 | 3 | 45 | 15.0 | 0 | 26 | 1.43 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.30
- Passing downs
- 1.85
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.73 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).