Matthew Hibner is a Slot Specialist TE for SMU. Matthew's 2025 season produced 27.9 total EPA across 37 plays.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the TE mean. Model correlation r≈0.42 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers
The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 1.02 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 3.64 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Arizona (SP+ 12).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Thompson | Tulane | 2024 | 48 | 0.420 | 0.4 | 20.2 |
| Seth Green | Minnesota | 2018 | 83 | 0.390 | 0.0 | 32.4 |
| Johnny Langan | Rutgers | 2020 | 59 | 0.300 | 0.0 | 17.7 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsEast Texas A&M | W42-13 | — | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.90 |
| 2 | vsBaylor | L45-48 | 1.4 | 2 | 32 | 16.0 | 0 | 16 | 2.28 |
| 3 | @Missouri State | W28-10 | -10.7 | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | -1.27 |
| 4 | @TCU | L24-35 | 8.3 | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | 1 | 9 | 0.49 |
| 6 | vsSyracuse | W31-18 | -13.1 | 5 | 55 | 11.0 | 0 | 29 | 1.29 |
| 8 | @Clemson | W35-24 | 9.5 | 2 | 29 | 14.5 | 1 | 22 | 0.85 |
| 10 | vsMiami | W26-20 | 20.7 | 4 | 36 | 9.0 | 0 | 16 | 0.28 |
| 11 | @Boston College | W45-13 | -8.5 | 1 | 37 | 37.0 | 1 | 37 | — |
| 13 | vsLouisville | W38-6 | 12.4 | 4 | 58 | 14.5 | 0 | 33 | 0.71 |
| 14 | @California | L35-38 | -3.2 | 5 | 87 | 17.4 | 1 | 32 | 0.96 |
| 1 | vsArizona | W24-19 | 12.0 | 2 | 85 | 42.5 | 0 | 80 | 3.64 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.52
- Passing downs
- 0.98
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.76 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).