#6Nick Marsh

WR·Michigan State·2025

Nick Marsh is a Versatile WR for Michigan State. Nick's 2025 season ranks in the 63th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 87 plays — a average rate for the WR.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

10%

projected

band 7%'25 13%14%

Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Receiving

59 Receptions662 Rec yards6 Rec TD11.2 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)63th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency48th %ile · average

Key findings

▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.35 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.47 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Youngstown State.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Malik Dunner	Ball State	2017	76	0.290	0.4	22.0
Chris Tyree	Notre Dame	2020	76	0.310	0.6	23.6
Noah Short	Army	2024	69	0.300	0.5	20.7
Xavier White	Texas Tech	2020	62	0.300	0.5	18.6
Luke McCaffrey	Nebraska	2020	62	0.300	0.7	18.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsWestern Michigan	W23-6	-1.4	5	32	6.4	1	8	0.78
2	vsBoston College	W42-40	-8.5	5	68	13.6	2	41	0.31
3	vsYoungstown State	W41-24	—	6	94	15.7	0	28	1.47
4	@USC	L31-45	16.9	2	28	14.0	0	19	0.12
6	@Nebraska	L27-38	6.2	4	41	10.3	0	13	0.03
7	vsUCLA	L13-38	-8.7	7	77	11.0	1	22	0.18
8	@Indiana	L13-38	32.4	7	64	9.1	1	16	0.79
9	vsMichigan	L20-31	12.4	6	75	12.5	0	24	—
10	@Minnesota	L20-23	1.5	4	75	18.8	0	48	0.63
12	vsPenn State	L10-28	18.1	2	5	2.5	0	3	-0.66
13	@Iowa	L17-20	19.7	4	18	4.5	0	9	-0.43
14	vsMaryland	W38-28	0.6	7	85	12.1	1	24	0.34

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

13.2%

Passing plays

24.7%

Rushing plays

0.9%

Standard downs

11.7%

Passing downs

16.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.35
Passing downs: 0.22
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.31 / 0.01

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).