Patrick Mahomes is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Texas Tech. Patrick's 2015 season ranks in the 55th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 679 plays — a average rate for the QB.
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | Louisville | 2016 | 714 | 0.543 | 16.1 | 387.6 |
| Dak Prescott | Mississippi State | 2015 | 655 | 0.514 | 13.6 | 336.6 |
| Clayton Tune | Houston | 2022 | 652 | 0.542 | 13.7 | 353.3 |
| Deshaun Watson | Clemson | 2015 | 716 | 0.584 | 16.2 | 418.1 |
| Sam Ehlinger | Texas | 2019 | 652 | 0.535 | 13.2 | 349.0 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsSam Houston | W59-45 | — | 33/53 | 425 | 4 | 1 | 88.5 | 48 | 0 | 0.51 |
| 2 | vsUTEP | W69-20 | -19.5 | 18/33 | 361 | 4 | 0 | 93.2 | 23 | 2 | 0.78 |
| 3 | @Arkansas | W35-24 | 19.2 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Texas Tech | 15 | 0.503 | — | 378.4 |
| 2016 | Texas Tech | 17.5 | 0.544 | +0.04 | 390.0 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 28/56 · Pass Yds 370 · Pass TD 4 · INT 1
| 26/30 |
| 243 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 90.7 |
| 58 |
| 2 |
| 0.65 |
| 4 | vsTCU | L52-55 | 19.0 | 25/45 | 392 | 2 | 0 | 84.5 | 36 | 1 | 0.43 |
| 5 | vsBaylor | L35-63 | 19.5 | 32/50 | 415 | 3 | 2 | 90.5 | 39 | 1 | 0.50 |
| 6 | vsIowa State | W66-31 | -0.3 | 33/46 | 428 | 5 | 0 | 92.3 | 1 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 7 | @Kansas | W30-20 | -21.3 | 29/50 | 354 | 1 | 1 | 57.4 | 29 | 0 | 0.12 |
| 8 | @Oklahoma | L27-63 | 22.7 | 26/40 | 233 | 1 | 4 | 29.4 | 47 | 1 | 0.10 |
| 9 | vsOklahoma State | L53-70 | 9.9 | 38/55 | 480 | 4 | 2 | 76.0 | 46 | 1 | 0.22 |
| 10 | @West Virginia | L26-31 | 12.9 | 21/34 | 196 | 3 | 1 | 52.9 | 73 | 0 | 0.14 |
| 11 | vsKansas State | W59-44 | 2.6 | 33/42 | 384 | 3 | 0 | 73.7 | 14 | 1 | 0.45 |
| 13 | @Texas | W48-45 | 3.7 | 22/39 | 372 | 1 | 1 | 67.4 | 70 | 1 | 0.29 |
| 1 | vsLSU | L27-56 | 19.7 | 28/56 | 370 | 4 | 1 | 43.3 | -28 | 0 | 0.12 |