#15Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Mississippi State. Dak's 2015 season ranks in the 57th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 626 plays — a average rate for the QB.
2015 Production
Performance Analysis · 2015 · vs QB peers
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
- ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.09 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.11 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Northwestern State.
Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Tune | Houston | 2022 | 652 | 0.542 | 13.7 | 353.3 |
| Sam Ehlinger | Texas | 2019 | 652 | 0.535 | 13.2 | 349.0 |
| Trace McSorley | Penn State | 2017 | 626 | 0.513 | 12.7 | 321.0 |
| Bailey Zappe | Western Kentucky | 2021 | 620 | 0.600 | 13.3 | 372.0 |
| Casey Thompson | Nebraska | 2021 | 666 | 0.528 | 12.6 | 351.4 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Southern Miss | W34-16 | 1.4 | 22/38 | 237 | 2 | 0 | 80.8 | 72 | 1 | 0.38 |
| 2 | vsLSU | L19-21 | 19.7 | 34/52 | 335 | 1 | 0 | 54.7 | -19 | 1 | 0.18 |
| 3 | vsNorthwestern State | W62-13 | — | 10/11 | 227 | 2 | 0 | 99.2 | 54 | 0 | 1.11 |
| 4 | @Auburn | W17-9 | 14.6 | 29/41 | 270 | 2 | 0 | 74.3 | 14 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 5 | @Texas A&M | L17-30 | 14.1 | 20/34 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 52.5 | 96 | 1 | 0.21 |
| 6 | vsTroy | W45-17 | -7.0 | 3/6 | 74 | 1 | 0 | 37.9 | 3 | 0 | 0.71 |
| 7 | vsLouisiana Tech | W45-20 | 8.3 | 30/43 | 347 | 3 | 0 | 84.0 | 34 | 1 | 0.46 |
| 8 | vsKentucky | W42-16 | -0.3 | 25/35 | 348 | 3 | 1 | 95.4 | 117 | 3 | 0.82 |
| 10 | @Missouri | W31-13 | 3.4 | 27/40 | 303 | 4 | 0 | 78.6 | 47 | 0 | 0.24 |
| 11 | vsAlabama | L6-31 | 29.0 | 22/43 | 300 | 0 | 1 | 17.8 | 14 | 0 | -0.11 |
| 12 | @Arkansas | W51-50 | 19.2 | 38/50 | 508 | 5 | 1 | 86.0 | 46 | 2 | 0.65 |
| 13 | vsOle Miss | L27-38 | 27.0 | 31/42 | 254 | 2 | 1 | 29.3 | 63 | 1 | 0.17 |
| 1 | vsNC State | W51-28 | 9.6 | 25/42 | 380 | 4 | 1 | 58.5 | 47 | 0 | 0.48 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.27
- Passing downs
- 0.50
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.34 / 0.38
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Career · rolling EPA, game by game
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Mississippi State | 10.9 | 0.474 | — | 289.9 |
| 2015 | Mississippi State | 13.6 | 0.514 | +0.04 | 336.6 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.