Raphael Williams
Raphael Williams is a Versatile WR for Pittsburgh. Raphael's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 65 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.28 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.27 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Florida State (SP+ 7).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Dane Kinamon | Air Force | 2021 | 39 | 0.410 | 0.7 | 16.0 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsDuquesne | W61-9 | — | 1 | 45 | 45.0 | 0 | 45 | 0.94 |
| 2 | vsCentral Michigan | W45-17 | -8.8 | 6 | 121 | 20.2 | 2 | 48 | 0.44 |
| 3 | @West Virginia | L24-31 | -6.8 | 6 | 119 | 19.8 | 1 | 67 | 0.75 |
| 5 | vsLouisville | L27-34 | 12.4 | 4 | 57 | 14.3 | 1 | 38 | 0.56 |
| 6 | vsBoston College | W48-7 | -8.5 | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | 0 | 15 | -0.28 |
| 7 | @Florida State | W34-31 | 7.2 | 6 | 78 | 13.0 | 0 | 21 | 1.27 |
| 8 | @Syracuse | W30-13 | -13.1 | 3 | 28 | 9.3 | 0 | 15 | -0.18 |
| 9 | vsNC State | W53-34 | 4.8 | 5 | 62 | 12.4 | 1 | 22 | — |
| 10 | @Stanford | W35-20 | -11.8 | 4 | 37 | 9.3 | 1 | 18 | 0.55 |
| 12 | vsNotre Dame | L15-37 | 24.4 | 3 | 14 | 4.7 | 0 | 8 | -1.04 |
| 13 | @Georgia Tech | W42-28 | 9.3 | 2 | 39 | 19.5 | 0 | 20 | 0.57 |
| 14 | vsMiami | L7-38 | 20.7 | 5 | 66 | 13.2 | 0 | 38 | 0.36 |
| 1 | vsEast Carolina | L17-23 | 8.0 | 5 | 57 | 11.4 | 1 | 22 | 1.20 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.27
- Passing downs
- 0.76
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.48 / -0.01
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).