Sahmir Hagans is a Slot Specialist WR for Duke. Sahmir's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 59 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.24 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.81 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs NC State (SP+ 5).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Dane Kinamon | Air Force | 2021 | 39 | 0.410 | 0.7 | 16.0 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsElon | W45-17 | — | 5 | 54 | 10.8 | 2 | 21 | 1.04 |
| 2 | vsIllinois | L19-45 | 12.9 | 3 | 33 | 11.0 | 0 | 24 | -0.03 |
| 3 | @Tulane | L27-34 | 6.3 | 1 | 29 | 29.0 | 1 | 29 | 0.10 |
| 4 | vsNC State | W45-33 | 4.8 | 3 | 63 | 21.0 | 1 | 33 | 1.81 |
| 5 | @Syracuse | W38-3 | -13.1 | 5 | 59 | 11.8 | 0 | 23 | 0.64 |
| 6 | @California | W45-21 | -3.2 | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | 0 | 4 | -0.54 |
| 8 | vsGeorgia Tech | L18-27 | 9.3 | 5 | 69 | 13.8 | 1 | 24 | 1.50 |
| 10 | @Clemson | W46-45 | 9.5 | 3 | 2 | 0.7 | 0 | 3 | -0.03 |
| 11 | @UConn | L34-37 | 5.1 | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | 0 | 17 | 1.23 |
| 12 | vsVirginia | L17-34 | 11.1 | 1 | 35 | 35.0 | 0 | 35 | -0.34 |
| 13 | @North Carolina | W32-25 | -6.6 | 3 | 30 | 10.0 | 0 | 22 | 1.10 |
| 14 | vsWake Forest | W49-32 | 5.7 | 2 | 29 | 14.5 | 1 | 30 | -0.83 |
| 15 | vsVirginia | W27-20 | 11.1 | 2 | 31 | 15.5 | 0 | 35 | 1.39 |
| 1 | vsArizona State | W42-39 | 3.9 | 6 | 45 | 7.5 | 0 | 9 | 0.31 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.22
- Passing downs
- 0.79
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.50 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).