Sam Hartman is a 4-year Clutch Passer for Wake Forest. Sam's 2022 season ranks in the 70th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 525 plays — a average rate for the QB. Sam's production has improved each season, a positive development trajectory.
Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.
Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stetson Bennett | Georgia | 2022 | 509 | 0.635 | 12.4 | 323.0 |
| Ryan Higgins | Louisiana Tech | 2016 | 571 | 0.586 | 13.7 | 334.6 |
| Tanner Mordecai | SMU | 2021 | 510 | 0.630 | 14.0 | 321.5 |
| Baker Mayfield | Oklahoma | 2015 | 577 | 0.561 | 14.1 | 323.7 |
| J.T. Barrett | Ohio State | 2017 | 576 | 0.593 | 14.1 | 341.6 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | @Vanderbilt | W45-25 | -4.7 | 18/27 | 300 | 4 | 0 | 71.5 | 12 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 3 | vsLiberty | W37-36 | -1.5 | 26/44 | 325 | 3 | 2 | 58.3 | 11 | 0 | 0.35 |
| 4 | vsClemson | L45-51 | 17.6 | 20/29 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Wake Forest | 5.5 | 0.432 | — | 144.0 |
| 2021 | Wake Forest | 11.8 | 0.556 | +0.12 | 359.6 |
| 2022 | Wake Forest | 12.7 | 0.553 | -0.00 | 319.9 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 23/37 · Pass Yds 280 · Pass TD 3 · INT 1
| 337 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 94.8 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 0.61 |
| 5 | @Florida State | W31-21 | 13.2 | 22/34 | 234 | 2 | 0 | 86.0 | -5 | 0 | 0.28 |
| 6 | vsArmy | W45-10 | -1.5 | 13/19 | 246 | 1 | 0 | 53.1 | 36 | 0 | 0.49 |
| 8 | vsBoston College | W43-15 | -14.9 | 25/40 | 313 | 5 | 1 | 78.7 | 7 | 1 | 0.71 |
| 9 | @Louisville | L21-48 | 9.0 | 20/35 | 271 | 1 | 3 | 46.9 | -24 | 0 | -0.19 |
| 10 | @NC State | L21-30 | 6.8 | 29/48 | 397 | 2 | 3 | 79.5 | -14 | 0 | 0.41 |
| 11 | vsNorth Carolina | L34-36 | 7.8 | 18/31 | 320 | 4 | 1 | 50.0 | 12 | 0 | 0.51 |
| 12 | vsSyracuse | W45-35 | 2.5 | 30/43 | 331 | 4 | 0 | 74.4 | 44 | 0 | 0.25 |
| 13 | @Duke | L31-34 | 5.0 | 26/42 | 347 | 3 | 1 | 80.2 | 33 | 0 | 0.47 |
| 1 | vsMissouri | W27-17 | 8.1 | 23/37 | 280 | 3 | 1 | — | 8 | 0 | 0.34 |
| 2023 | Notre Dame | 8.9 | 0.650 | +0.10 | 208.6 |